Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 11
FULL-TIME
Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados in Liga de Expansión MX on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 6–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result · 4 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
- 4′
- 22′Goal · Normal GoalA. De Jesus Bravo SantiagoLeones Negros UDG
- 36′
- 37′Card · Yellow CardG. PadillaDorados
- 46′
- 46′
- 61′
- 63′
- 68′Goal · Normal GoalS. A. HernandezLeones Negros UDG
- 69′
- 69′
- 75′
- 77′
- 78′
- 82′
- 82′
- 82′
- 83′
- 87′
- 90′
- 90+5′Card · Yellow CardJ. AguayoLeones Negros UDG
Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.
Game statistics
Leones Negros UDGDorados
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Goals | 3 |
| — | Corners | — |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| 1 | Yellow Card | 1 |
| 0 | Yellow/Red Card | 0 |
| 0 | Red Card | 0 |
| — | Offsides | — |
| — | Goal attempts | — |
| — | Saves | — |
| — | Shots blocked | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
| 0 | Penalties | 0 |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| 5 | Substitutions | 5 |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| — | On Target | — |
| — | Off Target | — |
| — | Possession % | — |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Updated
Lineups
Leones Negros UDG
Coach: Alfonso Sosa
Starting XI
- 1O. M. Cantu Rodriguez
- 161J. Escalante
- 21O. Gonzalez
- 24J. Aguayo
- 5U. Torres
- 28A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago
- 6J. Marchand
- 11J. Perez
- 20O. Gil
- 34S. A. Hernandez
- 9L. Razo
Substitutes
Dorados
Coach: Luis Orozco
Starting XI
- 21J. Castro
- 20D. Osuna
- 4R. Franco
- 32C. Castro
- 18S. Cervantes
- 13G. Padilla
- 17F. Pena
- 28B. Ordorica
- 6D. Guajardo
- 5A. Flores
- 10L. Vargas
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | CA La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 30:17 | 24 |
| 2. | Leones Negros UDG | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 3. | Monarcas | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | 23 |
| 4. | Piratas | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5. | Venados FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28:23 | 21 |
| 6. | Durango | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 7. | Cancún | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 8. | Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:23 | 18 |
| 9. | Tapatío | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | 17 |
| 10. | Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 16 |
| 11. | Correcaminos Uat | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | 16 |
| 12. | Tlaxcala | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25:27 | 16 |
| 13. | CDS Tampico Madero | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 14. | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 15. | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 16. | Tepatitlán | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10:37 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorados | 1–1 | Leones Negros UDG | Liga de Expansión MX |
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. | Leones Negros UDG | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 10. | Dorados | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 16 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
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Match information
- Competition
- Liga de Expansión MX
- Venue
- Estadio Jalisco
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 6–3
- 90-minute score
- 6–3
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Leones Negros UDG
Dorados
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Leones Negros UDG vs Dorados: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Leones Negros UDG recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 13. Dorados recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Leones Negros UDG | Dorados |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Leones Negros UDG: (1.95 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dorados: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
Leones Negros UDG recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul HidalgoLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| MonarcasLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| CA La PazLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| TapatíoLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| PiratasLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| DurangoLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| CDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| CancúnLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Leones Negros UDG’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dorados recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DurangoLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| CDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| CancúnLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| TapatíoLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| TepatitlánLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| MonarcasLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Venados FCLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Mineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Alebrijes de OaxacaLiga de Expansión MX | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Dorados’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.