Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 13

Leones Negros UDGvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca in Liga de Expansión MX on 18 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.

Clevertips · Match preview · 18 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Leones Negros UDG and Alebrijes de Oaxaca
#TeamPWDLGPTS
2.Leones Negros UDG1273228:1724
15.Alebrijes de Oaxaca1241710:2313

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Liga de Expansión MX
Venue
Estadio Jalisco
Status
Not Started
Score
Not started
90-minute score
—
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Leones Negros UDG

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Leones Negros UDG recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 15. Alebrijes de Oaxaca recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticLeones Negros UDGAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Games1010
Wins54
Draws31
Losses25
Goals scored2210
Goals conceded1518
Over 1.5 games108

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Leones Negros UDG: (2.43 weighted goals scored + 2.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Leones Negros UDG 2.31
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1.26

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Leones Negros UDG recent form

5Wins
3Draws
2Losses
22Goals scored
15Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

2.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Leones Negros UDG goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 60OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Venados FCLiga de Expansión MXAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

DoradosLiga de Expansión MXHome6–3Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

No statistics were returned for this match.

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 4′Goal · Normal Goal · L. Razo · Assist: U. Torres Leones Negros UDG
  2. 22′Goal · Normal Goal · A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago Leones Negros UDG
  3. 36′Goal · Normal Goal · L. Razo · Assist: A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago Leones Negros UDG
  4. 37′Card · Yellow Card · G. Padilla Dorados
  5. 46′subst · Substitution 1 · A. Flores · Assist: E. Gutierrez Dorados
  6. 46′subst · Substitution 2 · B. Ordorica · Assist: J. Rengifo Dorados
  7. 61′Goal · Normal Goal · D. Osuna · Assist: G. Padilla Dorados
  8. 63′subst · Substitution 3 · D. Guajardo · Assist: F. Contreras Dorados
  9. 68′Goal · Normal Goal · S. A. Hernandez Leones Negros UDG
  10. 69′subst · Substitution 1 · A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago · Assist: A. Carreon Leones Negros UDG
  11. 69′subst · Substitution 2 · J. Perez · Assist: J. Brigido Leones Negros UDG
  12. 75′subst · Substitution 4 · L. Vargas · Assist: O. Coronel Dorados
  13. 77′Goal · Normal Goal · J. Marchand · Assist: O. Gil Leones Negros UDG
  14. 78′subst · Substitution 5 · G. Padilla · Assist: A. Egana Dorados
  15. 82′subst · Substitution 3 · J. Escalante · Assist: M. Nuno Leones Negros UDG
  16. 82′subst · Substitution 4 · S. A. Hernandez · Assist: J. Cazares Leones Negros UDG
  17. 82′subst · Substitution 5 · L. Razo · Assist: K. Loera Leones Negros UDG
  18. 83′Goal · Normal Goal · O. Coronel · Assist: F. Contreras Dorados
  19. 87′Goal · Normal Goal · O. Coronel · Assist: J. Rengifo Dorados
  20. 90′Goal · Normal Goal · O. Gil · Assist: J. Brigido Leones Negros UDG
  21. 90+5′Card · Yellow Card · J. Aguayo Leones Negros UDG

Events updated

Cruz Azul HidalgoLiga de Expansión MXAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MonarcasLiga de Expansión MXAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CA La PazLiga de Expansión MXHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TapatíoLiga de Expansión MXAway3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PiratasLiga de Expansión MXHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

DurangoLiga de Expansión MXAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MXHome4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MXHome1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Leones Negros UDG’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Alebrijes de Oaxaca recent form

4Wins
1Draws
5Losses
10Goals scored
18Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MXHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

PiratasLiga de Expansión MXAway0–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

No statistics were returned for this match.

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 19′Card · Yellow Card · A. Hernandez Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  2. 20′Goal · Penalty · D. Lajud Martinez Piratas
  3. 37′Card · Red Card · A. Tecpanecatl Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  4. 45+3′Card · Yellow Card · K. Alvarez Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  5. 46′subst · Substitution 1 · E. Sanchez · Assist: S. Gallinar Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  6. 46′subst · Substitution 2 · J. Bustos · Assist: J. Alaniz Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  7. 46′subst · Substitution 3 · Andrey Marcos · Assist: D. Martinez Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  8. 47′Card · Yellow Card · J. Alaniz Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  9. 54′subst · Substitution 4 · I. Barreda · Assist: B. Fadika Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  10. 74′Goal · Normal Goal · D. Lajud Martinez Piratas
  11. 75′subst · Substitution 1 · C. Fernandez · Assist: D. Sanchez Piratas
  12. 75′subst · Substitution 2 · D. Lajud Martinez · Assist: I. Doumbouya Piratas
  13. 79′Goal · Normal Goal · G. Lopez · Assist: I. Doumbouya Piratas
  14. 80′subst · Substitution 5 · A. Hernandez · Assist: A. Justo Alebrijes de Oaxaca
  15. 84′subst · Substitution 3 · B. Figueroa · Assist: A. Enciso Piratas
  16. 84′subst · Substitution 4 · J. Gamboa · Assist: E. Ochoa Piratas
  17. 88′subst · Substitution 5 · R. Gonzalez · Assist: U. Garcia Piratas
  18. 90′Goal · Normal Goal · U. Garcia · Assist: E. Ochoa Piratas

Events updated

CA La PazLiga de Expansión MXHome1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CancúnLiga de Expansión MXAway0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

DurangoLiga de Expansión MXHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MonarcasLiga de Expansión MXAway1–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TapatíoLiga de Expansión MXHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MXAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TepatitlánLiga de Expansión MXHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MXAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Alebrijes de Oaxaca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.

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