Persha Liga · Regular Season - 12
Results Only
Yarud Mariupol'vsInhulets
Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets in Persha Liga on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persha Liga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Yarud Mariupol' are ranked 6 in Persha Liga, with 18 points from 11 games.
Inhulets are ranked 11 in Persha Liga, with 14 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Kulykiv | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Oleksandria | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | SK Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Yarud Mariupol' | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Prykarpattia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Metal Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Chernihiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 8 |
| 16 | Polissya II | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yarud Mariupol' | 1–1 | Inhulets | Persha Liga |
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Match information
- Competition
- Persha Liga
- Venue
- Kolos Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Yarud Mariupol'
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Inhulets
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Yarud Mariupol' vs Inhulets: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Yarud Mariupol' recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 8. Inhulets recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Yarud Mariupol' | Inhulets |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Yarud Mariupol': (1.59 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.40 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Inhulets: (0.76 weighted goals scored + 0.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Yarud Mariupol' recent form
2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCSAPersha Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nyva TernopilPersha Liga | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| OleksandriaPersha Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Polissya IIPersha Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Probiy HorodenkaPersha Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Zorya LuhanskCup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KulykivPersha Liga | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lokomotiv KyivPersha Liga | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dinaz VyshhorodCup | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| Kolos Kovalivka IIPersha Liga | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Yarud Mariupol'’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Inhulets recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahrobiznes VolochyskPersha Liga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Viktoriya MykolaivkaPersha Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PrykarpattiaPersha Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Metal KharkivPersha Liga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SK PoltavaPersha Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UCSAPersha Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Veres RivneCup | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Nyva TernopilPersha Liga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| OleksandriaPersha Liga | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Polissya IIPersha Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Inhulets’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.