First Division · Regular Season - 36
Results Only
WexfordvsUCD
Wexford vs UCD in First Division on 16 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
16 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
UCD are ranked 3 in First Division, with 53 points from 35 games.
Wexford are ranked 8 in First Division, with 42 points from 35 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 35 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 34 | 39 | 74 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | UCD | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Kerry | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 51 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 49 |
| 6 | Cobh Ramblers | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 42 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 39 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 25 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Wexford vs UCD
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 4–1 | Wexford | First Division | |
| Wexford | 2–1 | UCD | First Division |
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Match information
- Competition
- First Division
- Venue
- Ferrycarrig Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Clevertips match analysis
Wexford vs UCD: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Wexford recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 19. UCD recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 21 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Wexford | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Wexford: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
UCD: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Wexford recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bray WanderersFirst Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Longford TownFirst Division | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| KerryFirst Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cobh RamblersFirst Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Finn HarpsFirst Division | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Treaty UnitedFirst Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Cork CityFirst Division | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Athlone TownFirst Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| UCDFirst Division | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Bray WanderersFirst Division | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Wexford’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
UCD recent form
2.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longford TownFirst Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Treaty UnitedFirst Division | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Bray WanderersFirst Division | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Cork CityFirst Division | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Athlone TownFirst Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cobh RamblersFirst Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Finn HarpsFirst Division | Home | 5–4 | Won | |
| KerryFirst Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Derry CityFAI Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| WexfordFirst Division | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from UCD’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.
