VNVranov nad TopľouvsSlovan SabinovSS

Clevertips match analysis

Vranov nad Topľou vs Slovan Sabinov: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Vranov nad Topľou recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Slovan Sabinov recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 3 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Vranov nad Topľou: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 1.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Slovan Sabinov: (0.22 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.94 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.