Regionalliga - Nord · North - 14

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VfB LübeckvsSt. Pauli II

VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II in Regionalliga - Nord on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.

Clevertips · Match preview

17 October 2026

Prediction

Over 1.5 goals

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

Prediction saved

Goals and cards

Goals

Match events are not yet available.

Cards

Match events are not yet available.

Lineups

Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.

LEAGUE CONTEXT

Regionalliga - Nord — current table

Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.

VfB Lübeck are ranked 10 in Regionalliga: North, with 15 points from 13 games.

St. Pauli II are ranked 16 in Regionalliga: North, with 10 points from 12 games.

Regionalliga: North
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Weiche Flensburg13101240142631
2SV Drochtersen/Assel1391343182528
3Hannover 96 II1383228161227
4Phönix Lübeck1282234102426
5VfB Oldenburg1281337172025
6Schöningen137332020024
7Kickers Emden135353236-418
8Atlas Delmenhorst124441720-316
9HSC Hannover134452129-816
10VfB Lübeck133641622-615
11Eimsbütteler TV134272135-1414
12Eintracht Norderstedt123452431-713
13Hamburger SV II124171826-813
14Werder Bremen II123361620-412
15Todesfelde133282142-2111
16St. Pauli II123182325-210
17SSV Jeddeloh133191934-1510
18Bremer SV12228924-158

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II

Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.

Match information

Competition
Regionalliga - Nord
Venue
To be confirmed
Status
Not Started
Score
Not started
90-minute score
—
Last updated

Next five games for each club

VfB Lübeck

No upcoming fixtures are available.

St. Pauli II

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

VfB Lübeck recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 18. St. Pauli II recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 19 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticVfB LübeckSt. Pauli II
Games1010
Wins33
Draws41
Losses36
Goals scored1419
Goals conceded1818
Over 1.5 games99

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

VfB Lübeck: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

St. Pauli II: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
VfB Lübeck 1.65
St. Pauli II 1.68

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results and goal trends

LAST 10 GAMES

VfB Lübeck recent form

3Wins
4Draws
3Losses
14Goals scored
18Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

VfB Lübeck goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
SSV JeddelohRegionalliga - NordAway2–1Won
Eimsbütteler TVRegionalliga - NordHome0–0Draw
TodesfeldeRegionalliga - NordHome3–2Won
Bremer SVRegionalliga - NordHome2–1Won
Hannover 96 IIRegionalliga - NordAway2–2Draw
HSC HannoverRegionalliga - NordHome1–1Draw
Eintracht NorderstedtRegionalliga - NordAway1–1Draw
SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - NordHome2–3Lost
Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - NordHome1–3Lost
Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - NordAway0–4Lost

Scores shown from VfB Lübeck’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

St. Pauli II recent form

3Wins
1Draws
6Losses
19Goals scored
18Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

St. Pauli II goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
HSC HannoverRegionalliga - NordHome3–4Lost
Kickers EmdenRegionalliga - NordHome0–2Lost
SV Drochtersen/AsselRegionalliga - NordAway0–1Lost
Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - NordAway3–0Won
Eintracht NorderstedtRegionalliga - NordHome5–0Won
Hannover 96 IIRegionalliga - NordAway2–3Lost
Phönix LübeckRegionalliga - NordHome2–2Draw
SchöningenRegionalliga - NordAway2–3Lost
Werder Bremen IIRegionalliga - NordHome2–1Won
SSV JeddelohRegionalliga - NordAway0–2Lost

Scores shown from St. Pauli II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.