Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
Results Only
Union BerlinvsBorussia Dortmund
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Bundesliga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Borussia Dortmund are ranked 2 in Bundesliga, with 13 points from 5 games.
Union Berlin are ranked 16 in Bundesliga, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Venue
- An der Alten Försterei
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Union Berlin
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Borussia Dortmund
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Union Berlin recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 27. Borussia Dortmund recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 22 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 27 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Union Berlin: (1.54 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Borussia Dortmund: (2.00 weighted goals scored + 2.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Union Berlin recent form
1.70 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV ElversbergBundesliga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| HNK RijekaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bayern MünchenBundesliga | Away | 0–7 | Lost | |
| FC Schalke 04Bundesliga | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Eintracht BraunschweigDFB Pokal | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| IpswichFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| ArisFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| CagliariFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Union Berlin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Borussia Dortmund recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Werder BremenBundesliga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| VfB StuttgartBundesliga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| VillarrealUEFA Champions League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| HEBCDFB Pokal | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Hamburger SVBundesliga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bayern MünchenSuper Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AS RomaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Borussia Dortmund’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.