Úrvalsdeild · Relegation Group - 4
Results Only
Thor AkureyrivsStjarnan
Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan in Úrvalsdeild on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Úrvalsdeild — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Stjarnan are ranked 7 in Úrvalsdeild, with 28 points from 22 games.
Thor Akureyri are ranked 10 in Úrvalsdeild, with 21 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 67 | 21 | 46 | 53 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 74 | 49 | 25 | 44 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 30 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 28 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 28 |
| 8 | Valur Reykjavik | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | FH hafnarfjordur | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 21 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 21 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 20 |
| 12 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 18 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stjarnan | 4–2 | Thor Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | |
| Thor Akureyri | 1–3 | Stjarnan | Úrvalsdeild |
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Match information
- Competition
- Úrvalsdeild
- Venue
- Thorsvollur
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Thor Akureyri
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Stjarnan
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Thor Akureyri recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Stjarnan recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 17 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Thor Akureyri | Stjarnan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Thor Akureyri: (0.75 weighted goals scored + 2.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Stjarnan: (1.67 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Thor Akureyri recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeild | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KA AkureyriÚrvalsdeild | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Valur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FH hafnarfjordurÚrvalsdeild | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| IBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeild | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| StjarnanÚrvalsdeild | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| KeflavikÚrvalsdeild | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| IA AkranesÚrvalsdeild | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BreidablikÚrvalsdeild | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| KA AkureyriÚrvalsdeild | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Thor Akureyri’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Stjarnan recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KA AkureyriÚrvalsdeild | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FH hafnarfjordurÚrvalsdeild | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| IBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeild | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| IBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeild | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BreidablikÚrvalsdeild | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Thor AkureyriÚrvalsdeild | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Fram ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| KeflavikÚrvalsdeild | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Valur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| IlvesUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Stjarnan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.