Championship · Regular Season - 11
Results Only
SouthamptonvsBolton
Southampton vs Bolton in Championship on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Southampton are ranked 7 in Championship, with 16 points from 10 games.
Bolton are ranked 14 in Championship, with 13 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 10 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Southampton vs Bolton
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- St. Mary's Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Southampton
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Bolton
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Southampton vs Bolton: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Southampton recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Bolton recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 15 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Southampton | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Southampton: (2.12 weighted goals scored + 1.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bolton: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Southampton recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NorwichChampionship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| PortsmouthChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WrexhamChampionship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bristol CityChampionship | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| SwanseaChampionship | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| LincolnChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BirminghamChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MillwallChampionship | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| West HamLeague Cup | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Stoke CityChampionship | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Southampton’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bolton recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WolvesChampionship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Stoke CityChampionship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NorwichChampionship | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| CardiffChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| West HamChampionship | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MillwallChampionship | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Sheffield UtdChampionship | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LincolnChampionship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QPRChampionship | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| PrestonChampionship | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Bolton’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.