Serie A · Regular Season - 6

FULL-TIME

Sassuolo1–1AC Milan

Sassuolo vs AC Milan in Serie A on 11 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 11 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Serie A
Venue
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Status
Match Finished
Score
1–1
90-minute score
1–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Sassuolo

No upcoming fixtures are available.

AC Milan

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Sassuolo vs AC Milan: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Sassuolo recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 17. AC Milan recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 17 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticSassuoloAC Milan
Games1010
Wins34
Draws34
Losses42
Goals scored1617
Goals conceded1714
Over 1.5 games910

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Sassuolo: (1.72 weighted goals scored + 1.40 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

AC Milan: (1.74 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Sassuolo 1.56
AC Milan 1.69

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results and goal trends

LAST 10 GAMES

Sassuolo recent form

3Wins
3Draws
4Losses
16Goals scored
17Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Sassuolo goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
MonzaSerie AAway1–2Lost
JuventusSerie AHome3–2Won
BolognaSerie AAway2–2Draw
FrosinoneCoppa ItaliaHome1–1Draw
TorinoSerie AHome2–1Won
AtalantaSerie AAway1–2Lost
CesenaCoppa ItaliaHome3–0Won
FC AugsburgFriendlies ClubsAway2–3Lost
Celta VigoFriendlies ClubsHome1–4Lost
Folgore CarateseFriendlies ClubsHome0–0Draw

Scores shown from Sassuolo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

AC Milan recent form

4Wins
4Draws
2Losses
17Goals scored
14Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

AC Milan goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
LecceSerie AHome3–0Won
BenficaUEFA Europa LeagueHome0–2Lost
LazioSerie AAway2–2Draw
JuventusSerie AAway1–1Draw
VeneziaSerie AHome2–0Won
TorinoSerie AAway2–1Won
Manchester UnitedFriendlies ClubsAway4–2Won
ChelseaFriendlies ClubsAway0–3Lost
InterFriendlies ClubsHome1–1Draw
CelticFriendlies ClubsAway2–2Draw

Scores shown from AC Milan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.