Copa Paulista · Final
São José ECvsUnião São João
São José EC vs União São João in Copa Paulista on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Paulista — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
São José EC vs União São João
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| União São João | 1–1 | São José EC | Copa Paulista |
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Match information
- Competition
- Copa Paulista
- Venue
- Estadio Martins Pereira
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
São José EC
No upcoming fixtures are available.
União São João
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
São José EC vs União São João: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
São José EC recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 6. União São João recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 losses, with 12 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | São José EC | União São João |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
São José EC: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
União São João: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 0.48 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
São José EC recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| União São JoãoCopa Paulista | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NoroesteCopa Paulista | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NoroesteCopa Paulista | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| São CaetanoCopa Paulista | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EC São BernardoCopa Paulista | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Santo AndréCopa Paulista | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Santo AndréCopa Paulista | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EC São BernardoCopa Paulista | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from São José EC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
União São João recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São José ECCopa Paulista | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Grêmio PrudenteCopa Paulista | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Grêmio PrudenteCopa Paulista | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| JuventusCopa Paulista | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JuventusCopa Paulista | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bandeirante SPCopa Paulista | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Bandeirante SPCopa Paulista | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| XV de PiracicabaCopa Paulista | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NoroesteCopa Paulista | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ComercialCopa Paulista | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from União São João’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.
