Erovnuli Liga 2 · Regular Season - 29
Results Only
SamtrediavsAragvi Dusheti
Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti in Erovnuli Liga 2 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Erovnuli Liga 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Samtredia are ranked 4 in Pirveli Liga, with 40 points from 28 games.
Aragvi Dusheti are ranked 7 in Pirveli Liga, with 35 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareji | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 50 |
| 2 | Telavi | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 46 |
| 3 | Shturmi | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 46 |
| 4 | Samtredia | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 40 |
| 5 | Merani Martvili | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 37 |
| 6 | Odishi 1919 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Aragvi Dusheti | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 35 |
| 8 | Sioni | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 33 |
| 9 | Gori | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 30 |
| 10 | Kolkheti Poti | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 28 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragvi Dusheti | 2–4 | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | |
| Samtredia | 2–0 | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Erovnuli Liga 2
- Venue
- Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Samtredia
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Aragvi Dusheti
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Samtredia recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 25 and conceding 4. Aragvi Dusheti recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 13 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Samtredia | Aragvi Dusheti |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 25 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 4 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Samtredia: (2.74 weighted goals scored + 1.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Aragvi Dusheti: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 0.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Samtredia recent form
2.50 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SioniErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| RustaviDavid Kipiani Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Merani MartviliErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Kolkheti PotiErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GarejiErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| TelaviErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| FC Iberia 1999David Kipiani Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Odishi 1919Erovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ShturmiErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| GoriErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Samtredia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Aragvi Dusheti recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TelaviErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| SioniErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Odishi 1919Erovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Merani MartviliErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ShturmiErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Kolkheti PotiErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GagraDavid Kipiani Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GoriErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GarejiErovnuli Liga 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SamtrediaErovnuli Liga 2 | Home | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Aragvi Dusheti’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.