Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 8
FULL-TIME
Şamaxı FK3–2Safa Baku
Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku in Premyer Liqa on 16 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result
16 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Şamaxı FKSafa Baku
Statistics are updating; values will appear when available.
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 2 |
| — | Corners | — |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| — | Yellow Card | — |
| — | Yellow/Red Card | — |
| — | Red Card | — |
| — | Offsides | — |
| — | Goal attempts | — |
| — | Saves | — |
| — | Shots blocked | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
| — | Penalties | — |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| — | Substitutions | — |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| — | On Target | — |
| — | Off Target | — |
| — | Possession % | — |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premyer Liqa — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Şamaxı FK are ranked 7 in Premyer Liqasi, with 10 points from 7 games.
Safa Baku are ranked 11 in Premyer Liqasi, with 3 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah FA | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Turan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Zira | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Sumqayıt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Qabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 4 |
| 10 | Imisli FK | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 11 | Safa Baku | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 3 |
| 12 | Araz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Premyer Liqa
- Venue
- Shamakhi City Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Şamaxı FK
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Safa Baku
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Şamaxı FK recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Safa Baku recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 4 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Şamaxı FK | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Şamaxı FK: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Safa Baku: (0.38 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Şamaxı FK recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SumqayıtPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KapazPremyer Liqa | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TuranPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| QarabagPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TuranPremyer Liqa | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Şamaxı FK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Safa Baku recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuranPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QarabagPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sabah FAPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Imisli FKPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ZaqatalaBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Difai AğsuBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Safa Baku’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.