J-League Cup · Round of 32

FULL-TIME

Sagan Tosu2–1Avispa Fukuoka

Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka in J-League Cup on 14 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 14 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
J-League Cup
Venue
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Status
Match Finished
Score
2–1
90-minute score
2–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Sagan Tosu

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Avispa Fukuoka

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Sagan Tosu recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Avispa Fukuoka recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 9 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticSagan TosuAvispa Fukuoka
Games1010
Wins31
Draws23
Losses56
Goals scored99
Goals conceded1214
Over 1.5 games66

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Sagan Tosu: (0.84 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Avispa Fukuoka: (0.88 weighted goals scored + 1.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.98 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Sagan Tosu 1.08
Avispa Fukuoka 0.98

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Sagan Tosu recent form

3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
9Goals scored
12Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Sagan Tosu goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Fujieda MYFCJ2 LeagueHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Blaublitz AkitaJ2 LeagueAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

No statistics were returned for this match.

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 32′Card · Yellow Card · K. Yamauchi Sagan Tosu
  2. 46′subst · Substitution 1 · K. Yamauchi · Assist: N. Matsumoto Sagan Tosu
  3. 46′subst · Substitution 2 · R. Izawa · Assist: H. Nakahara Sagan Tosu
  4. 48′Card · Yellow Card · H. Takahashi Blaublitz Akita
  5. 61′Card · Yellow Card · N. Matsumoto Sagan Tosu
  6. 62′Goal · Normal Goal · T. Nonomura · Assist: Y. Nakano Blaublitz Akita
  7. 71′subst · Substitution 1 · R. Oishi · Assist: T. Iwai Blaublitz Akita
  8. 71′subst · Substitution 2 · Y. Nakano · Assist: T. Hasegawa Blaublitz Akita
  9. 71′subst · Substitution 3 · A. Toyoda · Assist: H. Goto Sagan Tosu
  10. 77′subst · Substitution 3 · K. Handa · Assist: S. Aihara Blaublitz Akita
  11. 79′subst · Substitution 4 · K. Nishizawa · Assist: K. Jojo Sagan Tosu
  12. 87′subst · Substitution 4 · K. Doi · Assist: T. Mizutani Blaublitz Akita
  13. 87′subst · Substitution 5 · S. Suzuki · Assist: R. Nakamura Blaublitz Akita
  14. 87′subst · Substitution 5 · M. Yoshida · Assist: K. Yoshino Sagan Tosu

Events updated

Tokyo VerdyJ-League CupHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Montedio YamagataJ2 LeagueAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Vissel KobeEmperor CupAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

IwakiJ2 LeagueHome1–3Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ImabariJ2 LeagueAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 LeagueHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Nara ClubJ-League CupAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Yokohama FCJ2 LeagueAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Sagan Tosu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Avispa Fukuoka recent form

1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
9Goals scored
14Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Avispa Fukuoka goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Fagiano OkayamaJ1 LeagueHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Yokohama FCEmperor CupHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

OsakaJ-League CupAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 LeagueHome0–1Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Shimizu S-pulseJ1 LeagueAway0–1Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Mito HollyhockJ1 LeagueHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

UrawaJ1 LeagueHome2–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Kyoto SangaJ1 LeagueAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Verspah OitaEmperor CupHome0–0Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

KashimaJ1 LeagueAway2–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Avispa Fukuoka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.