Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8

FULL-TIME

Rio Ave3–2Nacional

Rio Ave vs Nacional in Primeira Liga on 11 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 11 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Rio Ave and Nacional
#TeamPWDLGPTS
14.Rio Ave82158:177
16.Nacional81169:184

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Primeira Liga
Venue
Estádio dos Arcos
Status
Match Finished
Score
3–2
90-minute score
3–2
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Rio Ave

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Nacional

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Rio Ave vs Nacional: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Rio Ave recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Nacional recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 8 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticRio AveNacional
Games1010
Wins31
Draws23
Losses56
Goals scored138
Goals conceded1818
Over 1.5 games88

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Rio Ave: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 2.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Nacional: (0.72 weighted goals scored + 2.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Rio Ave 1.62
Nacional 1.41

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Rio Ave recent form

3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
13Goals scored
18Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Rio Ave goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
AlvercaPrimeira LigaAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EstrelaPrimeira LigaHome3–3Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Santa ClaraPrimeira LigaAway0–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Sporting CPPrimeira LigaHome0–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EstorilPrimeira LigaAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

FC PortoPrimeira LigaHome0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

GIL VicentePrimeira LigaAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TondelaFriendlies ClubsHome3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Al-Ahli JeddahFriendlies ClubsHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PortimonenseFriendlies ClubsAway3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Rio Ave’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Nacional recent form

1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
8Goals scored
18Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Nacional goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
FamalicaoPrimeira LigaHome0–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AlvercaPrimeira LigaHome1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Sporting CPPrimeira LigaAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EstrelaPrimeira LigaHome2–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Vitória SCPrimeira LigaAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EstorilPrimeira LigaHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Santa ClaraPrimeira LigaAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EstrelaFriendlies ClubsAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LeganesFriendlies ClubsHome0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TondelaFriendlies ClubsAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Nacional’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.