Liga Premier Serie A · Apertura - 8
Real RefinerosvsGuerreros del Pacifico
Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico in Liga Premier Serie A on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 7 previous home-team games and 6 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Premier Serie A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Guerreros del Pacifico are ranked 7 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 8 points from 6 games.
Real Refineros are ranked 8 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 7 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 14 |
| 4 | Acatlan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Acambaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Santiago | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Calor de San Pedro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Correcaminos UAT II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Guerreros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 8 |
| 8 | Atlético Saltillo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 2 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 26 | -24 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico
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Match information
- Competition
- Liga Premier Serie A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Real Refineros
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Guerreros del Pacifico
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Real Refineros vs Guerreros del Pacifico: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Real Refineros recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 7 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Guerreros del Pacifico recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 5 scored and 9 conceded across 6 games.
| Statistic | Real Refineros | Guerreros del Pacifico |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 6 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Real Refineros: (1.68 weighted goals scored + 1.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guerreros del Pacifico: (0.86 weighted goals scored + 2.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 7 GAMES
Real Refineros recent form
1.57 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. 5 of 7 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halcones NegrosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Dragones de OaxacaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CiervosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Delfines CoatzacoalcosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Real Refineros’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 7 usable previous results were available.
LAST 6 GAMES
Guerreros del Pacifico recent form
0.83 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 4 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragones de OaxacaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Delfines CoatzacoalcosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AcambaroLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Halcones NegrosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CiervosLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Guerreros del Pacifico’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.