Primera División · Clausura - 11
Results Only
ProgresovsJuventud
Progreso vs Juventud in Primera División on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Juventud are ranked 9 in Primera: Tabla Anual, with 40 points from 32 games.
Progreso are ranked 16 in Primera: Tabla Anual, with 29 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 59 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 55 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 53 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 50 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Juventud | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
| 11 | Cerro | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 35 |
| 13 | Boston River | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Danubio | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 16 | Progreso | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 29 |
Juventud are ranked 7 in Primera: Promedios, with 101 points from 69 games.
Progreso are ranked 16 in Primera: Promedios, with 68 points from 69 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | 117 | 60 | 57 | 142 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | 124 | 71 | 53 | 134 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 59 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | 94 | 68 | 26 | 115 |
| 5 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | 107 | 88 | 19 | 106 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | 82 | 78 | 4 | 101 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 96 |
| 9 | Boston River | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 82 | 82 | 0 | 89 |
| 10 | Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 82 |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Cerro | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | 59 | 89 | -30 | 82 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | 66 | 86 | -20 | 81 |
| 15 | Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | 67 | 82 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | 66 | 107 | -41 | 68 |
Juventud are ranked 5 in Primera: Torneo Intermedio, with 8 points from 7 games.
Progreso are ranked 7 in Primera: Torneo Intermedio, with 6 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
Juventud are ranked 14 in Primera: Apertura, with 15 points from 15 games.
Progreso are ranked 15 in Primera: Apertura, with 10 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
Juventud are ranked 6 in Primera: Clausura, with 17 points from 10 games.
Progreso are ranked 9 in Primera: Clausura, with 13 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Penarol | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Juventud | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Cerro | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Boston River | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Danubio | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Albion FC | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Progreso vs Juventud
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud | 2–0 | Progreso | Primera División |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Parque Abraham Paladino
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Clevertips match analysis
Progreso vs Juventud: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Progreso recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Juventud recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 14 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Progreso | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Progreso: (1.16 weighted goals scored + 0.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Juventud: (1.33 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Progreso recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PenarolPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Racing MontevideoPrimera División | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Boston RiverPrimera División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Club NacionalCopa Uruguay | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CerroPrimera División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Albion FCPrimera División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Albion FCCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DanubioPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CA River PlateCopa Uruguay | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Progreso’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Juventud recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing MontevideoPrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Plaza ColoniaCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Boston RiverPrimera División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CerroPrimera División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Albion FCPrimera División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Racing MontevideoCopa Uruguay | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| DanubioPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Club NacionalPrimera División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Central EspanolCopa Uruguay | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo MaldonadoPrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Juventud’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.