UEFA Nations League · League A - 4

FULL-TIME

Portugal2–1Norway

Portugal vs Norway in UEFA Nations League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 4 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

  1. 12′
    Card · Yellow CardJoão CanceloPortugalFoul
  2. 36′
    Goal · Normal GoalKristoffer AjerNorwayAssist: Martin Ødegaard
  3. 38′
    Goal · Normal GoalJoão CanceloPortugalAssist: Nuno Mendes
  4. 63′
    Substitution · Substitution 1João PalhinhaPortugalAssist: Rúben Neves
  5. 63′
    Substitution · Substitution 2João CanceloPortugalAssist: Diogo Dalot
  6. 67′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Erling HaalandNorwayAssist: Jørgen Strand Larsen
  7. 74′
    Substitution · Substitution 2Antonio NusaNorwayAssist: Oscar Bobb
  8. 79′
    Goal · Normal GoalGonçalo RamosPortugalAssist: João Félix
  9. 86′
    Card · Yellow CardFrancisco ConceiçãoPortugalArgument
  10. 86′
    Card · Yellow CardFrancisco ConceiçãoPortugalArgument
  11. 86′
    Card · Red CardFrancisco ConceiçãoPortugalArgument
  12. 86′
    Substitution · Substitution 3VitinhaPortugalAssist: Bernardo Silva
  13. 87′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Patrick BergNorwayAssist: Thelo Aasgaard
  14. 88′
    Card · Yellow CardBruno FernandesPortugalFoul
  15. 90′
    Substitution · Substitution 4Bruno FernandesPortugalAssist: Francisco Trincão
  16. 90′
    Substitution · Substitution 5João FélixPortugalAssist: Nuno Tavares

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Portugal and Norway
#TeamPWDLGPTS
1.Portugal44009:412
4.Norway41036:83

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
UEFA Nations League
Venue
Estádio do Dragão
Status
Match Finished
Score
2–1
90-minute score
2–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Portugal

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Norway

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Portugal vs Norway: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Portugal recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Norway recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 19 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticPortugalNorway
Games1010
Wins75
Draws22
Losses13
Goals scored1919
Goals conceded817
Over 1.5 games710

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Portugal: (1.89 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Norway: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 0.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Portugal 1.77
Norway 1.30

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Portugal recent form

7Wins
2Draws
1Losses
19Goals scored
8Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Portugal goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
DenmarkUEFA Nations LeagueAway4–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

NorwayUEFA Nations LeagueAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

WalesUEFA Nations LeagueHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SpainWorld CupHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CroatiaWorld CupHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ColombiaWorld CupAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

UzbekistanWorld CupHome5–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Congo DRWorld CupHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

NigeriaFriendliesHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ChileFriendliesHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Portugal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Norway recent form

5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
19Goals scored
17Goals conceded
0Clean sheets

1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Norway goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
WalesUEFA Nations LeagueAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PortugalUEFA Nations LeagueHome1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

DenmarkUEFA Nations LeagueHome3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EnglandWorld CupHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BrazilWorld CupAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Ivory CoastWorld CupAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

FranceWorld CupHome1–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SenegalWorld CupHome3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

IraqWorld CupAway4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MoroccoFriendliesAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Norway’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.

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