Taça de Portugal · Round of 64

FULL-TIME

Penafiel0–1Leça

Penafiel vs Leça in Taça de Portugal on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Taça de Portugal
Venue
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Status
Match Finished
Score
0–1
90-minute score
0–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Penafiel

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Leça

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Penafiel vs Leça: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Penafiel recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Leça recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticPenafielLeça
Games1010
Wins54
Draws23
Losses33
Goals scored1812
Goals conceded1213
Over 1.5 games99

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Penafiel: (1.84 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.51 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Leça: (1.52 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Penafiel 1.51
Leça 1.41

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Penafiel recent form

5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
18Goals scored
12Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Penafiel goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
AVSSegunda LigaHome1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Deportivo La CorunaFriendlies ClubsHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

OliveirenseTaça de PortugalAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Felgueiras 1932Segunda LigaAway2–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AcademicaSegunda LigaHome4–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

FC Porto BSegunda LigaAway3–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Sporting CP BSegunda LigaHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TorreenseSegunda LigaAway2–2Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PortimonenseSegunda LigaHome0–1Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LeganesFriendlies ClubsHome0–2Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Penafiel’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Leça recent form

4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
12Goals scored
13Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Leça goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
AD Marco 09Liga 3Home2–0Won
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

MortáguaTaça de PortugalAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TrofenseLiga 3Away4–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

FafeLiga 3Home0–3Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ParedesLiga 3Away2–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Guimaraes BLiga 3Away0–2Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

São João VerLiga 3Home1–1Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Lusitânia LourosaFriendlies ClubsHome0–0Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Santa ClaraFriendlies ClubsAway0–4Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Vitória de SernacheCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion RoundHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Leça’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.