Premier League · Regular Season - 5
FULL-TIME
Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City in Premier League on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result · 7 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
Match events are not yet available.
Game statistics
NtugasazeMbarara City
Statistics are updating; values will appear when available.
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 0 |
| — | Corners | — |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| — | Yellow Card | — |
| — | Yellow/Red Card | — |
| — | Red Card | — |
| — | Offsides | — |
| — | Goal attempts | — |
| — | Saves | — |
| — | Shots blocked | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
| — | Penalties | — |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| — | Substitutions | — |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| — | On Target | — |
| — | Off Target | — |
| — | Possession % | — |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | SC Villa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 2. | NEC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 14 |
| 3. | BUL | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 13 |
| 4. | Entebbe UPPC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5. | Vipers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | 10 |
| 6. | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 7. | Blacks Power | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 8. | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 9. | UPDF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 10. | Maroons | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 11. | Lugazi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 12. | Police | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:10 | 7 |
| 13. | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 14. | Express | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 15. | URA | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16. | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 17. | Kataka | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:13 | 2 |
| 18. | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
Prediction details
Based on 4 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16. | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 13. | Mbarara City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Kiira Road Police Arena
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Ntugasaze
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Mbarara City
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Ntugasaze vs Mbarara City: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Ntugasaze recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 4 games used here, scoring 2 and conceding 11. Mbarara City recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 9 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ntugasaze | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 2 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 3 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ntugasaze: (0.55 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mbarara City: (0.71 weighted goals scored + 2.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 4 GAMES
Ntugasaze recent form
0.50 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per game. 3 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VipersPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| BULPremier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| MaroonsPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Blacks PowerPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Ntugasaze’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mbarara City recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entebbe UPPCPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| NECPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| PolicePremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| KCCAPremier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Buhimba SaintsPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| SC VillaPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| LugaziPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| ExpressPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| NECPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| MaroonsPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Mbarara City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.