North Macedonia U18vsMontenegro U18

Clevertips match analysis

North Macedonia U18 vs Montenegro U18: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

North Macedonia U18 recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Montenegro U18 recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 3 scored and 5 conceded across 4 games.

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

North Macedonia U18: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Montenegro U18: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.