Premier League · Regular Season - 7

FULL-TIME

Newcastle0–1Aston Villa

Newcastle vs Aston Villa in Premier League on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Newcastle and Aston Villa
#TeamPWDLGPTS
11.Newcastle622210:138
16.Aston Villa61236:115

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Premier League
Venue
St James' Park
Status
Match Finished
Score
0–1
90-minute score
0–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Newcastle

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Aston Villa

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Newcastle recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Aston Villa recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 21 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticNewcastleAston Villa
Games1010
Wins45
Draws32
Losses33
Goals scored1621
Goals conceded1815
Over 1.5 games98

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Newcastle: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Aston Villa: (2.49 weighted goals scored + 1.88 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Newcastle 1.52
Aston Villa 2.18

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Newcastle recent form

4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
16Goals scored
18Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Newcastle goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
CoventryPremier LeagueAway1–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Hull CityPremier LeagueHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LeedsPremier LeagueAway1–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MillwallLeague CupAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BournemouthPremier LeagueHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TottenhamPremier LeagueAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

West BromLeague CupHome3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LiverpoolPremier LeagueHome2–2Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

StrasbourgFriendlies ClubsHome1–1Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Bayer LeverkusenFriendlies ClubsHome1–2Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Newcastle’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Aston Villa recent form

5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
21Goals scored
15Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Aston Villa goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 60OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
FenerbahçeUEFA Champions LeagueHome6–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Aston VillaStatisticFenerbahçe
3.15expected_goals1.75
350Passes accurate423
11Shots insidebox7
9Shots outsidebox8
4Blocked Shots6
6Free Kicks11
11Shots on Goal4
4Goalkeeper Saves5
5Shots off Goal5
1Offsides3
389Total passes470
20Total Shots15
9Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards2
12Fouls6
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 12′Goal · Normal Goal · Johan Manzambi Aston Villa
  2. 31′Goal · Normal Goal · Nicolas Jackson · Assist: Boubacar Kamara Aston Villa
  3. 39′Goal · Normal Goal · Nicolas Jackson · Assist: Ross Barkley Aston Villa
  4. 42′Card · Yellow Card · Mattéo Guendouzi Fenerbahçe Foul
  5. 68′Goal · Penalty · Ross Barkley Aston Villa
  6. 69′subst · Substitution 1 · Mason Greenwood · Assist: Nene Dorgeles Fenerbahçe
  7. 69′subst · Substitution 2 · Vedat Muriqi · Assist: Romelu Lukaku Fenerbahçe
  8. 69′subst · Substitution 3 · Ismail Yüksek · Assist: Bartuğ Elmaz Fenerbahçe
  9. 72′Goal · Normal Goal · Ross Barkley · Assist: Ibrahim Mbaye Aston Villa
  10. 73′subst · Substitution 1 · Boubacar Kamara · Assist: Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha Aston Villa
  11. 73′subst · Substitution 2 · Johan Manzambi · Assist: João Gomes Aston Villa
  12. 78′Card · Yellow Card · Oğuz Aydın Fenerbahçe Foul
  13. 78′subst · Substitution 3 · Nicolas Jackson · Assist: Tammy Abraham Aston Villa
  14. 79′subst · Substitution 4 · Ibrahim Mbaye · Assist: Alejandro Garnacho Aston Villa
  15. 83′subst · Substitution 5 · Ross Barkley · Assist: Leon Goretzka Aston Villa
  16. 90′Goal · Normal Goal · Tammy Abraham · Assist: Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha Aston Villa

Events updated

BrentfordPremier LeagueHome2–2Draw
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

SevillaFriendlies ClubsAway3–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TottenhamPremier LeagueAway3–2Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CoventryLeague CupAway3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueHome1–2Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Club Brugge KVUEFA Champions LeagueAway3–2Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Hull CityPremier LeagueAway0–0Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ArsenalPremier LeagueHome0–1Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BrightonPremier LeagueAway0–4Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Aston Villa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.