Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
New York Red BullsvsToronto FC
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC in Major League Soccer on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Major League Soccer — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 61 | 30 | 31 | 52 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 47 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 46 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 45 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | San Diego | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 | Austin | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 22 |
New York Red Bulls are ranked 8 in Eastern Conference, with 36 points from 29 games.
Toronto FC are ranked 11 in Eastern Conference, with 33 points from 29 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 63 | 22 | 41 | 66 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 70 | 50 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 49 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 48 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 38 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 | DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Major League Soccer
- Venue
- Sports Illustrated Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
New York Red Bulls
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Toronto FC
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
New York Red Bulls recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Toronto FC recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 18 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
New York Red Bulls: (1.14 weighted goals scored + 2.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Toronto FC: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
New York Red Bulls recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC UnitedMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| San DiegoMajor League Soccer | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| New York City FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Chicago FireMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nashville SCMajor League Soccer | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from New York Red Bulls’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Toronto FC recent form
1.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| CF MontrealMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Nashville SCMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Nashville SCMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chicago FireMajor League Soccer | Home | 4–4 | Draw | |
| New York City FCMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CharlotteMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Toronto FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.