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J-League Cup · Round of 16

FULL-TIME

Mito Hollyhock1–3Cerezo Osaka

Betting market outcomes

Model estimates use up to 10 saved results per team, combining weighted goals scored (attacking) with opponent goals conceded (defending), adjusted for home or away venue. Games used: Mito Hollyhock 10/10; Cerezo Osaka 10/10. Percentages are model estimates, not guarantees. Actual results use the saved regular-time score; other match statistics are shown separately and are not inputs to these percentages.

Mito Hollyhock: 0.84 weighted goals scored, 1.68 conceded; Cerezo Osaka: 1.54 scored, 1.76 conceded.

1X2

  • Home win (1)Est. 31%Lost
  • Draw (X)Est. 24%Lost
  • Away win (2)Est. 45%Won

Double chance

  • Home or draw (1X)Est. 55%Lost
  • Draw or away (X2)Est. 69%Won
  • Home or away (12)Est. 76%Won

Both teams to score

  • Yes (GG)Est. 58%Won
  • No (NG)Est. 42%Lost

Goals

  • Over 1.5Est. 79%Won
  • Under 1.5Est. 21%Lost
  • Over 2.5Est. 56%Won
  • Under 2.5Est. 44%Lost
  • Over 3.5Est. 33%Won
  • Under 3.5Est. 67%Lost

Draw no bet

  • Home DNBEst. 31% · Refund 24%Lost
  • Away DNBEst. 45% · Refund 24%Won

Correct score

  • Highest-probability scoreEst. 11%1–1
  • Final score1–3
Fixture and competition context

J-League Cup · Round of 16 · Best Denki Stadium: Mito Hollyhock played Cerezo Osaka on 28 October 2026. Status: Full time. Match goals: 1–3.

Clevertips · Match result · 28 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Team form and tournament position

Form and tournament context

J-League Cup · Round of 16. Form uses up to ten saved results before this match, not later results.

Mito Hollyhock Home

Mito Hollyhock: 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in 10 saved games before kickoff, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded.

  1. Loss 0–6 vs FC Tokyo, 25 Oct 2026
  2. Loss 0–2 vs Fagiano Okayama, 21 Oct 2026
  3. Loss 0–1 vs Urawa, 17 Oct 2026
  4. Win 1–0 vs FC Tokyo, 14 Oct 2026
  5. Loss 1–2 vs Shimizu S-pulse, 11 Oct 2026

Latest 5 results · newest first

Venue splits within these 10 games
VenuePWDLGF:GA
Home41032:4
Away61238:11

A league position is not available for this team in the saved table.

Cerezo Osaka Away

Cerezo Osaka: 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in 10 saved games before kickoff, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded.

  1. Draw 2–2 vs JEF United Chiba, 25 Oct 2026
  2. Draw 1–1 vs Nagoya Grampus, 21 Oct 2026
  3. Loss 2–4 vs Kawasaki Frontale, 17 Oct 2026
  4. Win 3–2 vs Gainare Tottori, 14 Oct 2026
  5. Draw 0–0 vs Yokohama F. Marinos, 10 Oct 2026

Latest 5 results · newest first

Venue splits within these 10 games
VenuePWDLGF:GA
Home51316:6
Away52218:11

A league position is not available for this team in the saved table.

No previous meetings between these teams are saved locally.

Head-to-head meetings

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka

Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.

Match information

Kickoff
Competition
J-League Cup · Round of 16
Venue
Best Denki Stadium
Referee
Not supplied
Status
Match Finished
Last updated

Match events

Chronological timeline

  1. 17′
    Substitution · Substitution 1 Away · Cerezo Osaka

    Off: Y. Yokoyama

    On: L. Fernandes

  2. 33′
    Goal · Normal Goal Away · Cerezo Osaka

    T. Nakamura

  3. 37′
    Card · Yellow Card Away · Cerezo Osaka

    K. Okazawa

  4. 46′
    Substitution · Substitution 1 Home · Mito Hollyhock

    Off: M. Nishihara

    On: M. Arai

  5. 46′
    Goal · Normal Goal Home · Mito Hollyhock

    Patryck

  6. 56′
    Goal · Normal Goal Away · Cerezo Osaka

    S. Sakuragawa

    Assist: J. Hernandez

  7. 65′
    Substitution · Substitution 2 Home · Mito Hollyhock

    Off: Y. Funabashi

    On: Y. Tamura

  8. 65′
    Substitution · Substitution 3 Home · Mito Hollyhock

    Off: Y. Yamashita

    On: T. Semba

  9. 71′
    Goal · Normal Goal Away · Cerezo Osaka

    S. Sakuragawa

  10. 73′
    Substitution · Substitution 2 Away · Cerezo Osaka

    Off: K. Okazawa

    On: S. Tanaka

  11. 73′
    Substitution · Substitution 3 Away · Cerezo Osaka

    Off: T. Nakamura

    On: D. Cools

  12. 73′
    Substitution · Substitution 4 Away · Cerezo Osaka

    Off: S. Sakuragawa

    On: P. Sabbag

  13. 76′
    Substitution · Substitution 4 Home · Mito Hollyhock

    Off: K. Gokita

    On: K. Tada

  14. 76′
    Card · Yellow Card Home · Mito Hollyhock

    T. Semba

  15. 82′
    Card · Yellow Card Home · Mito Hollyhock

    K. Tada

  16. 82′
    Card · Yellow Card Home · Mito Hollyhock
  17. 83′
    Substitution · Substitution 5 Home · Mito Hollyhock

    Off: S. Yamashita

    On: R. Nemoto

  18. 84′
    Card · Yellow Card Home · Mito Hollyhock

    K. Yamazaki

  19. 85′
    Substitution · Substitution 5 Away · Cerezo Osaka

    Off: R. Sakata

    On: K. Noborizato

  20. 88′
    Card · Yellow Card Home · Mito Hollyhock

    K. Shimatani

Team event lists

Home · Mito Hollyhock

  1. 46′
    Substitution · Substitution 1 M. Nishihara Mito Hollyhock Assist: M. Arai
  2. 46′
    Goal · Normal Goal Patryck Mito Hollyhock
  3. 65′
    Substitution · Substitution 2 Y. Funabashi Mito Hollyhock Assist: Y. Tamura
  4. 65′
    Substitution · Substitution 3 Y. Yamashita Mito Hollyhock Assist: T. Semba
  5. 76′
    Substitution · Substitution 4 K. Gokita Mito Hollyhock Assist: K. Tada
  6. 76′
    Card · Yellow Card T. Semba Mito Hollyhock
  7. 82′
    Card · Yellow Card K. Tada Mito Hollyhock
  8. 82′
    Card · Yellow Card Mito Hollyhock
  9. 83′
    Substitution · Substitution 5 S. Yamashita Mito Hollyhock Assist: R. Nemoto
  10. 84′
    Card · Yellow Card K. Yamazaki Mito Hollyhock
  11. 88′
    Card · Yellow Card K. Shimatani Mito Hollyhock

Away · Cerezo Osaka

  1. 17′
    Substitution · Substitution 1 Y. Yokoyama Cerezo Osaka Assist: L. Fernandes
  2. 33′
    Goal · Normal Goal T. Nakamura Cerezo Osaka
  3. 37′
    Card · Yellow Card K. Okazawa Cerezo Osaka
  4. 56′
    Goal · Normal Goal S. Sakuragawa Cerezo Osaka Assist: J. Hernandez
  5. 71′
    Goal · Normal Goal S. Sakuragawa Cerezo Osaka
  6. 73′
    Substitution · Substitution 2 K. Okazawa Cerezo Osaka Assist: S. Tanaka
  7. 73′
    Substitution · Substitution 3 T. Nakamura Cerezo Osaka Assist: D. Cools
  8. 73′
    Substitution · Substitution 4 S. Sakuragawa Cerezo Osaka Assist: P. Sabbag
  9. 85′
    Substitution · Substitution 5 R. Sakata Cerezo Osaka Assist: K. Noborizato

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Match momentum

Recorded event activity, not attacking pressure.

Mito HollyhockCerezo Osaka
04Mito Hollyhock, 0–5 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 0–5 min: 0 events5′Mito Hollyhock, 5–10 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 5–10 min: 0 eventsMito Hollyhock, 10–15 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 10–15 min: 0 events15′Mito Hollyhock, 15–20 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 15–20 min: 1 eventsMito Hollyhock, 20–25 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 20–25 min: 0 eventsMito Hollyhock, 25–30 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 25–30 min: 0 events30′Mito Hollyhock, 30–35 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 30–35 min: 1 eventsMito Hollyhock, 35–40 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 35–40 min: 1 eventsMito Hollyhock, 40–45 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 40–45 min: 0 events45′Mito Hollyhock, 45–50 min: 2 eventsCerezo Osaka, 45–50 min: 0 eventsMito Hollyhock, 50–55 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 50–55 min: 0 eventsMito Hollyhock, 55–60 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 55–60 min: 1 events60′Mito Hollyhock, 60–65 min: 2 eventsCerezo Osaka, 60–65 min: 0 eventsMito Hollyhock, 65–70 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 65–70 min: 0 eventsMito Hollyhock, 70–75 min: 0 eventsCerezo Osaka, 70–75 min: 4 events75′Mito Hollyhock, 75–80 min: 2 eventsCerezo Osaka, 75–80 min: 0 eventsMito Hollyhock, 80–85 min: 4 eventsCerezo Osaka, 80–85 min: 1 eventsMito Hollyhock, 85–90 min: 1 eventsCerezo Osaka, 85–90 min: 0 events90′
View chart data
Recorded events per five-minute interval
Metric / minuteMito HollyhockCerezo Osaka
0–5 min00
5–10 min00
10–15 min00
15–20 min01
20–25 min00
25–30 min00
30–35 min01
35–40 min01
40–45 min00
45–50 min20
50–55 min00
55–60 min01
60–65 min20
65–70 min00
70–75 min04
75–80 min20
80–85 min41
85–90 min10
Events per five minutes.
About this chart

Each saved goal, card, substitution or VAR incident counts once. Missing feed coverage can leave gaps. Stoppage-time events stay in the last interval of their half. The current interval may be incomplete.

Statistical comparison

Match graphs

Statistics not available yet.

Injuries & availability

Injuries & availability

Availability information reflects saved records and may be incomplete.

Injury or availability data is not yet available for this match. Missing data does not confirm that either squad is injury-free.

Match questions

Match questions

What was the score in Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?

The match goal score was 1–3.

Who won the match between Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?

Cerezo Osaka won.

What is the kickoff time for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?

The recorded kickoff for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka is 28 October 2026 at 10:00 UTC in J-League Cup. The match clock above shows the local time on supported browsers.

Where is Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka played?

The saved venue is Best Denki Stadium, Mito.

What is the recent form for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?

Mito Hollyhock: 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in 10 saved games before kickoff, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded. Cerezo Osaka: 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in 10 saved games before kickoff, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded.

What is the local prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?

The saved model selection is Over 1.5 goals. The model estimate is 79%. It is based on available historical data, not a guaranteed result or a bookmaker price.

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About this prediction

This local prediction compares each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. The model can choose double chance or Over 1.5 goals, and adds straight wins, Over 2.5, or Both teams to score only when the estimated probability is at least 70%. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Scores reflect the latest saved live or fixture snapshot.

Teams, turning points and match context

J-League Cup · Round of 16 · Best Denki Stadium: Mito Hollyhock played Cerezo Osaka on 28 October 2026. Status: Full time. Match goals: 1–3.

How the match unfolded

At 17′, L. Fernandes replaced Y. Yokoyama for Cerezo Osaka. At 33′, T. Nakamura scored for Cerezo Osaka. At 37′, K. Okazawa was shown a yellow card for Cerezo Osaka.

At 46′, M. Arai replaced M. Nishihara for Mito Hollyhock. At 46′, Patryck scored for Mito Hollyhock. At 56′, S. Sakuragawa scored for Cerezo Osaka. The assist was credited to J. Hernandez.

At 65′, Y. Tamura replaced Y. Funabashi for Mito Hollyhock. At 65′, T. Semba replaced Y. Yamashita for Mito Hollyhock. At 71′, S. Sakuragawa scored for Cerezo Osaka.

At 73′, S. Tanaka replaced K. Okazawa for Cerezo Osaka. At 73′, D. Cools replaced T. Nakamura for Cerezo Osaka. At 73′, P. Sabbag replaced S. Sakuragawa for Cerezo Osaka.

At 76′, K. Tada replaced K. Gokita for Mito Hollyhock. At 76′, T. Semba was shown a yellow card for Mito Hollyhock. At 82′, K. Tada was shown a yellow card for Mito Hollyhock.

At 82′, An unnamed player was shown a yellow card for Mito Hollyhock. At 83′, R. Nemoto replaced S. Yamashita for Mito Hollyhock. At 84′, K. Yamazaki was shown a yellow card for Mito Hollyhock.

At 85′, K. Noborizato replaced R. Sakata for Cerezo Osaka. At 88′, K. Shimatani was shown a yellow card for Mito Hollyhock.

Local model context

The saved local prediction is Over 1.5 goals. This is a model estimate, not a guaranteed outcome or an observed match event.

Detailed statistics have not been supplied for this story. Missing data is not treated as zero activity.

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