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Copa Paraguay · Quarter-finals

FULL-TIME

Libertad Asuncion3–1Independiente F.b.c.

Betting market outcomes

Model estimates use up to 10 saved results per team, combining weighted goals scored (attacking) with opponent goals conceded (defending), adjusted for home or away venue. Games used: Libertad Asuncion 10/10; Independiente F.b.c. 10/10. Percentages are model estimates, not guarantees. Actual results use the saved regular-time score; other match statistics are shown separately and are not inputs to these percentages.

Libertad Asuncion: 1.25 weighted goals scored, 1.08 conceded; Independiente F.b.c.: 2.01 scored, 1.51 conceded.

1X2

  • Home win (1)Est. 34%Won
  • Draw (X)Est. 25%Lost
  • Away win (2)Est. 41%Lost

Double chance

  • Home or draw (1X)Est. 59%Won
  • Draw or away (X2)Est. 66%Lost
  • Home or away (12)Est. 75%Won

Both teams to score

  • Yes (GG)Est. 59%Won
  • No (NG)Est. 41%Lost

Goals

  • Over 1.5Est. 79%Won
  • Under 1.5Est. 21%Lost
  • Over 2.5Est. 56%Won
  • Under 2.5Est. 44%Lost
  • Over 3.5Est. 34%Won
  • Under 3.5Est. 66%Lost

Draw no bet

  • Home DNBEst. 34% · Refund 25%Won
  • Away DNBEst. 41% · Refund 25%Lost

Correct score

  • Highest-probability scoreEst. 11%1–1
  • Final score3–1
Fixture and competition context

Copa Paraguay · Quarter-finals · La Arboleda: Libertad Asuncion played Independiente F.b.c. on 27 October 2026. Status: Full time. Match goals: 3–1.

Clevertips · Match result · 27 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Team form and tournament position

Form and tournament context

Copa Paraguay · Quarter-finals. Form uses up to ten saved results before this match, not later results.

Libertad Asuncion Home

Libertad Asuncion: 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in 10 saved games before kickoff, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded.

  1. Win 1–0 vs Sportivo Luqueno, 23 Oct 2026
  2. Loss 0–1 vs Sportivo Trinidense, 18 Oct 2026
  3. Draw 2–2 vs Club Guarani, 11 Oct 2026
  4. Win 2–1 vs Deportivo Recoleta, 5 Oct 2026
  5. Loss 0–1 vs Olimpia, 28 Sep 2026

Latest 5 results · newest first

Venue splits within these 10 games
VenuePWDLGF:GA
Home52218:6
Away52125:6

A league position is not available for this team in the saved table.

Independiente F.b.c. Away

Independiente F.b.c.: 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in 10 saved games before kickoff, with 18 goals scored and 12 conceded.

  1. Loss 1–3 vs Paraguari AC, 23 Oct 2026
  2. Loss 2–3 vs Tacuary, 20 Oct 2026
  3. Win 3–0 vs Atlético Tembetary, 10 Oct 2026
  4. Win 3–2 vs Benjamín Aceval, 6 Oct 2026
  5. Draw 2–2 vs Nacional Asuncion, 30 Sep 2026

Latest 5 results · newest first

Venue splits within these 10 games
VenuePWDLGF:GA
Home62227:6
Away430111:6

A league position is not available for this team in the saved table.

No previous meetings between these teams are saved locally.

Head-to-head meetings

PREVIOUS MEETINGS

Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.

Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.

Match information

Kickoff
Competition
Copa Paraguay · Quarter-finals
Venue
La Arboleda
Referee
Not supplied
Status
Match Finished
Last updated

Match events

Chronological timeline

  1. 8′
    Card · Yellow Card Home · Libertad Asuncion

    R. Villalba

  2. 38′
    Goal · Normal Goal Home · Libertad Asuncion

    M. Fernandez

  3. 45+2′
    Card · Yellow Card Home · Libertad Asuncion

    M. Fernandez

  4. 46′
    Substitution · Substitution 1 Home · Libertad Asuncion

    Off: R. Villalba

    On: H. Fernandez

  5. 60′
    Substitution · Substitution 1 Away · Independiente F.b.c.

    Off: D. Aguada

    On: B. Diaz

  6. 60′
    Substitution · Substitution 2 Away · Independiente F.b.c.

    Off: N. Rojas

    On: R. Roman

  7. 60′
    Substitution · Substitution 3 Away · Independiente F.b.c.

    Off: D. Diarra

    On: G. Oviedo

  8. 61′
    Card · Yellow Card Away · Independiente F.b.c.
  9. 63′
    Substitution · Substitution 2 Home · Libertad Asuncion

    Off: J. Bogarin

    On: G. Aguilar

  10. 63′
    Substitution · Substitution 3 Home · Libertad Asuncion

    Off: I. Ramirez

    On: L. Melgarejo

  11. 70′
    Card · Yellow Card Home · Libertad Asuncion

    T. Fernandez

  12. 71′
    Goal · Normal Goal Away · Independiente F.b.c.

    C. Burgos

  13. 74′
    Substitution · Substitution 4 Away · Independiente F.b.c.

    Off: E. Sarquis

    On: A. Montiel

  14. 77′
    Substitution · Substitution 4 Home · Libertad Asuncion

    Off: M. Fernandez

    On: E. Vera

  15. 77′
    Substitution · Substitution 5 Away · Independiente F.b.c.

    Off: D. Dietze

    On: R. Marecos

  16. 83′
    Substitution · Substitution 5 Home · Libertad Asuncion

    Off: A. Manzur

    On: F. Carrizo

  17. 90+2′
    Goal · Normal Goal Home · Libertad Asuncion

    G. Aguilar

  18. 90+3′
    Goal · Normal Goal Home · Libertad Asuncion

    L. Melgarejo

Team event lists

Home · Libertad Asuncion

  1. 8′
    Card · Yellow Card R. Villalba Libertad Asuncion
  2. 38′
    Goal · Normal Goal M. Fernandez Libertad Asuncion
  3. 45+2′
    Card · Yellow Card M. Fernandez Libertad Asuncion
  4. 46′
    Substitution · Substitution 1 R. Villalba Libertad Asuncion Assist: H. Fernandez
  5. 63′
    Substitution · Substitution 2 J. Bogarin Libertad Asuncion Assist: G. Aguilar
  6. 63′
    Substitution · Substitution 3 I. Ramirez Libertad Asuncion Assist: L. Melgarejo
  7. 70′
    Card · Yellow Card T. Fernandez Libertad Asuncion
  8. 77′
    Substitution · Substitution 4 M. Fernandez Libertad Asuncion Assist: E. Vera
  9. 83′
    Substitution · Substitution 5 A. Manzur Libertad Asuncion Assist: F. Carrizo
  10. 90+2′
    Goal · Normal Goal G. Aguilar Libertad Asuncion
  11. 90+3′
    Goal · Normal Goal L. Melgarejo Libertad Asuncion

Away · Independiente F.b.c.

  1. 60′
    Substitution · Substitution 1 D. Aguada Independiente F.b.c. Assist: B. Diaz
  2. 60′
    Substitution · Substitution 2 N. Rojas Independiente F.b.c. Assist: R. Roman
  3. 60′
    Substitution · Substitution 3 D. Diarra Independiente F.b.c. Assist: G. Oviedo
  4. 61′
    Card · Yellow Card Independiente F.b.c.
  5. 71′
    Goal · Normal Goal C. Burgos Independiente F.b.c.
  6. 74′
    Substitution · Substitution 4 E. Sarquis Independiente F.b.c. Assist: A. Montiel
  7. 77′
    Substitution · Substitution 5 D. Dietze Independiente F.b.c. Assist: R. Marecos

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Match momentum

Recorded event activity, not attacking pressure.

Libertad AsuncionIndependiente F.b.c.
03Libertad Asuncion, 0–5 min: 0 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 0–5 min: 0 events5′Libertad Asuncion, 5–10 min: 1 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 5–10 min: 0 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 10–15 min: 0 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 10–15 min: 0 events15′Libertad Asuncion, 15–20 min: 0 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 15–20 min: 0 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 20–25 min: 0 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 20–25 min: 0 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 25–30 min: 0 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 25–30 min: 0 events30′Libertad Asuncion, 30–35 min: 0 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 30–35 min: 0 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 35–40 min: 1 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 35–40 min: 0 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 40–45 min: 1 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 40–45 min: 0 events45′Libertad Asuncion, 45–50 min: 1 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 45–50 min: 0 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 50–55 min: 0 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 50–55 min: 0 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 55–60 min: 0 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 55–60 min: 3 events60′Libertad Asuncion, 60–65 min: 2 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 60–65 min: 1 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 65–70 min: 1 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 65–70 min: 0 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 70–75 min: 0 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 70–75 min: 2 events75′Libertad Asuncion, 75–80 min: 1 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 75–80 min: 1 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 80–85 min: 1 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 80–85 min: 0 eventsLibertad Asuncion, 85–90 min: 2 eventsIndependiente F.b.c., 85–90 min: 0 events90′
View chart data
Recorded events per five-minute interval
Metric / minuteLibertad AsuncionIndependiente F.b.c.
0–5 min00
5–10 min10
10–15 min00
15–20 min00
20–25 min00
25–30 min00
30–35 min00
35–40 min10
40–45 min10
45–50 min10
50–55 min00
55–60 min03
60–65 min21
65–70 min10
70–75 min02
75–80 min11
80–85 min10
85–90 min20
Events per five minutes.
About this chart

Each saved goal, card, substitution or VAR incident counts once. Missing feed coverage can leave gaps. Stoppage-time events stay in the last interval of their half. The current interval may be incomplete.

Statistical comparison

Match graphs

Statistics not available yet.

Injuries & availability

Injuries & availability

Availability information reflects saved records and may be incomplete.

Injury or availability data is not yet available for this match. Missing data does not confirm that either squad is injury-free.

Match questions

Match questions

What was the score in Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?

The match goal score was 3–1.

Who won the match between Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?

Libertad Asuncion won.

What is the kickoff time for Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?

The recorded kickoff for Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c. is 27 October 2026 at 22:30 UTC in Copa Paraguay. The match clock above shows the local time on supported browsers.

Where is Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c. played?

The saved venue is La Arboleda.

What is the recent form for Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?

Libertad Asuncion: 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in 10 saved games before kickoff, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded. Independiente F.b.c.: 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in 10 saved games before kickoff, with 18 goals scored and 12 conceded.

What is the local prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?

The saved model selection is Over 1.5 goals. The model estimate is 79%. It is based on available historical data, not a guaranteed result or a bookmaker price.

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About this prediction

This local prediction compares each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. The model can choose double chance or Over 1.5 goals, and adds straight wins, Over 2.5, or Both teams to score only when the estimated probability is at least 70%. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Scores reflect the latest saved live or fixture snapshot.

Teams, turning points and match context

Copa Paraguay · Quarter-finals · La Arboleda: Libertad Asuncion played Independiente F.b.c. on 27 October 2026. Status: Full time. Match goals: 3–1.

How the match unfolded

At 8′, R. Villalba was shown a yellow card for Libertad Asuncion. At 38′, M. Fernandez scored for Libertad Asuncion. At 45+2′, M. Fernandez was shown a yellow card for Libertad Asuncion.

At 46′, H. Fernandez replaced R. Villalba for Libertad Asuncion. At 60′, B. Diaz replaced D. Aguada for Independiente F.b.c.. At 60′, R. Roman replaced N. Rojas for Independiente F.b.c..

At 60′, G. Oviedo replaced D. Diarra for Independiente F.b.c.. At 61′, An unnamed player was shown a yellow card for Independiente F.b.c.. At 63′, G. Aguilar replaced J. Bogarin for Libertad Asuncion.

At 63′, L. Melgarejo replaced I. Ramirez for Libertad Asuncion. At 70′, T. Fernandez was shown a yellow card for Libertad Asuncion. At 71′, C. Burgos scored for Independiente F.b.c..

At 74′, A. Montiel replaced E. Sarquis for Independiente F.b.c.. At 77′, E. Vera replaced M. Fernandez for Libertad Asuncion. At 77′, R. Marecos replaced D. Dietze for Independiente F.b.c..

At 83′, F. Carrizo replaced A. Manzur for Libertad Asuncion. At 90+2′, G. Aguilar scored for Libertad Asuncion. At 90+3′, L. Melgarejo scored for Libertad Asuncion.

Local model context

The saved local prediction is Over 1.5 goals. This is a model estimate, not a guaranteed outcome or an observed match event.

Detailed statistics have not been supplied for this story. Missing data is not treated as zero activity.

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