First Division · Regular Season - 36
Results Only
KerryvsCork City
Kerry vs Cork City in First Division on 16 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
16 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cork City are ranked 1 in First Division, with 74 points from 35 games.
Kerry are ranked 4 in First Division, with 51 points from 35 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 35 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 34 | 39 | 74 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | UCD | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | Kerry | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 51 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 49 |
| 6 | Cobh Ramblers | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 42 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 39 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 25 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Kerry vs Cork City
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cork City | 3–1 | Kerry | First Division |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- First Division
- Venue
- Mounthawk Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Clevertips match analysis
Kerry vs Cork City: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Kerry recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 14. Cork City recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 22 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kerry | Cork City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kerry: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cork City: (1.94 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kerry recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobh RamblersFirst Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Finn HarpsFirst Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| WexfordFirst Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Athlone TownFirst Division | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Bray WanderersFirst Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Longford TownFirst Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Treaty UnitedFirst Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| UCDFirst Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sligo RoversFAI Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Cork CityFirst Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kerry’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cork City recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn HarpsFirst Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Athlone TownFirst Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Longford TownFirst Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| UCDFirst Division | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Cobh RamblersFirst Division | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Bray WanderersFirst Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| WexfordFirst Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Treaty UnitedFirst Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KerryFirst Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Athlone TownFirst Division | Home | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Cork City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.