Kirin Cup · Final

FULL-TIME

Japan2–1New Zealand

Japan vs New Zealand in Kirin Cup on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 5 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

  1. 28′
    Goal · Normal GoalAyase UedaJapan
  2. 32′
    Goal · Normal GoalBen OldNew ZealandAssist: Chris Wood
  3. 64′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Daizen MaedaJapanAssist: Keito Nakamura
  4. 64′
    Substitution · Substitution 2Shuto NakanoJapanAssist: Junya Ito
  5. 65′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Takefusa KuboJapanAssist: Ao Tanaka
  6. 67′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Lachlan BaylissNew ZealandAssist: Jesse Randall
  7. 67′
    Substitution · Substitution 2Dane InghamNew ZealandAssist: Callan Elliot
  8. 68′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Chris WoodNew ZealandAssist: Ben Waine
  9. 71′
    Goal · Normal GoalRitsu DoanJapanAssist: Keito Nakamura
  10. 76′
    Card · Yellow CardJunya ItoJapanArgument
  11. 76′
    Card · Yellow CardElijah JustNew ZealandFoul
  12. 77′
    Substitution · Substitution 4Junnosuke SuzukiJapanAssist: Hayato Araki
  13. 78′
    Substitution · Substitution 5Daichi KamadaJapanAssist: Kodai Sano
  14. 78′
    Substitution · Substitution 6Ayase UedaJapanAssist: Kento Shiogai
  15. 80′
    Substitution · Substitution 4George StangerNew ZealandAssist: Stipe Ukich
  16. 80′
    Substitution · Substitution 5Ben OldNew ZealandAssist: Dalton Wilkins
  17. 87′
    Substitution · Substitution 7Kaishu SanoJapanAssist: Satoshi Tanaka
  18. 87′
    Substitution · Substitution 8Ritsu DoanJapanAssist: Kuryu Matsuki
  19. 89′
    Substitution · Substitution 6Elijah JustNew ZealandAssist: Logan Rogerson

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Kirin Cup
Venue
To be confirmed
Status
Match Finished
Score
2–1
90-minute score
2–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Japan

No upcoming fixtures are available.

New Zealand

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Japan vs New Zealand: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Japan recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 7. New Zealand recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 14 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticJapanNew Zealand
Games1010
Wins62
Draws33
Losses15
Goals scored1614
Goals conceded721
Over 1.5 games69

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Japan: (1.54 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

New Zealand: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 0.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Japan 1.71
New Zealand 1.10

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Japan recent form

6Wins
3Draws
1Losses
16Goals scored
7Goals conceded
5Clean sheets

1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Japan goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
EcuadorKirin CupHome0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

VenezuelaFriendliesHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

UruguayFriendliesHome3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BrazilWorld CupAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SwedenWorld CupHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TunisiaWorld CupAway4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

NetherlandsWorld CupAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

IcelandFriendliesHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EnglandFriendliesAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ScotlandFriendliesAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Japan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

New Zealand recent form

2Wins
3Draws
5Losses
14Goals scored
21Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

1.40 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

New Zealand goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
PanamaKirin CupAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ChinaFriendliesAway3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PalestineFriendliesAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BelgiumWorld CupHome1–5Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EgyptWorld CupHome1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

IranWorld CupAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EnglandFriendliesAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

HaitiFriendliesAway0–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ChileFIFA SeriesHome4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

FinlandFIFA SeriesHome0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from New Zealand’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.