Veikkausliiga · Relegation Group - 27
Results Only
IlvesvsSJK
Ilves vs SJK in Veikkausliiga on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Veikkausliiga — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ilves are ranked 9 in Veikkausliiga, with 25 points from 22 games.
SJK are ranked 10 in Veikkausliiga, with 19 points from 22 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 43 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 37 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | VPS | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Turku PS | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 | SJK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 | FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 14 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Turku | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 52 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | KuPS | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
| 5 | VPS | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 39 |
| 6 | AC Oulu | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 37 |
Ilves are ranked 2 in Relegration Group, with 35 points from 26 games.
SJK are ranked 4 in Relegration Group, with 27 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lahti | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 36 |
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 35 |
| 3 | Turku PS | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 32 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 27 |
| 5 | FF Jaro | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 20 |
| 6 | Mariehamn | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 18 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Ilves vs SJK
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves | 2–2 | SJK | Veikkausliiga |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Veikkausliiga
- Venue
- Tammelan Stadion
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Ilves
No upcoming fixtures are available.
SJK
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Ilves vs SJK: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Ilves recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 9. SJK recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ilves | SJK |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ilves: (1.90 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
SJK: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 0.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ilves recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MariehamnVeikkausliiga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HakaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Turku PSVeikkausliiga | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| LahtiVeikkausliiga | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| FF JaroVeikkausliiga | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| VPSVeikkausliiga | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GnistanVeikkausliiga | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| HNK RijekaUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MariehamnVeikkausliiga | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ilves’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
SJK recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LahtiVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| MariehamnVeikkausliiga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FF JaroVeikkausliiga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Turku PSVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| AC OuluVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LahtiVeikkausliiga | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MariehamnVeikkausliiga | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GnistanVeikkausliiga | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FF JaroVeikkausliiga | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from SJK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.