USL League One · Group Stage
Greenville TriumphvsCharlotte Independence
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence in USL League One on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
USL League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Charlotte Independence are ranked 1 in USL League One, with 63 points from 30 games.
Greenville Triumph are ranked 15 in USL League One, with 27 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 52 |
| 4 | Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 45 |
| 9 | Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 27 |
| 16 | NY Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 25 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Independence | 1–0 | Greenville Triumph | USL League One | |
| Charlotte Independence | 1–0 | Greenville Triumph | USL League One Cup |
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Match information
- Competition
- USL League One
- Venue
- Paladin Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Greenville Triumph
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Charlotte Independence
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Greenville Triumph recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 24. Charlotte Independence recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 24 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Greenville Triumph | Charlotte Independence |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 24 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Greenville Triumph: (1.61 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Charlotte Independence: (2.24 weighted goals scored + 2.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Greenville Triumph recent form
1.40 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spokane VelocityUSL League One | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| AltaUSL League One | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Corpus ChristiUSL League One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Chattanooga Red WolvesUSL League One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| NaplesUSL League One | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Spokane VelocityUSL League One | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Greenville Triumph’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Charlotte Independence recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY CosmosUSL League One | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Fort WayneUSL League One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Richmond KickersUSL League One | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| BoiseUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Westchester SCUSL League One | Home | 5–4 | Won | |
| Union OmahaUSL League One | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| AltaUSL League One | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Forward MadisonUSL League One | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Charlotte Independence’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.