CONMEBOL Libertadores · Semi-finals

FULL-TIME

Fluminense1–2Palmeiras

Fluminense vs Palmeiras in CONMEBOL Libertadores on 15 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 15 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

  1. 45′
    Goal · Normal GoalJosé Manuel LópezPalmeirasAssist: Joaquín Piquerez
  2. 45′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Matheus Martinelli LimaFluminenseAssist: Hércules Pereira do Nascimento
  3. 49′
    Card · Yellow CardAlexander BarbozaPalmeirasFoul
  4. 63′
    Substitution · Substitution 2Agustín CanobbioFluminenseAssist: Kevin Serna
  5. 74′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Andreas PereiraPalmeirasAssist: Maurício Magalhães Prado
  6. 74′
    Substitution · Substitution 2José Manuel LópezPalmeirasAssist: Ramon Sosa
  7. 74′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Jhon AriasPalmeirasAssist: Felipe Anderson
  8. 78′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Paulo Henrique Chagas de LimaFluminenseAssist: Luciano Acosta
  9. 78′
    Substitution · Substitution 4HulkFluminenseAssist: Rodrigo Castillo
  10. 84′
    Substitution · Substitution 5Jefferson David Savarino QuinteroFluminenseAssist: Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado
  11. 85′
    Goal · Normal GoalMarlon FreitasPalmeirasAssist: Felipe Anderson
  12. 90+3′
    Goal · Normal GoalWesley Natã de Freitas PradoFluminenseAssist: Claudio Rodrigues Gomes
  13. 90+6′
    Card · Yellow CardAgustin GiayPalmeirasTime Wasting
  14. 90+6′
    Card · Yellow CardMaurício Magalhães PradoPalmeirasArgument
  15. 90+6′
    Card · Yellow CardGustavo Nonato SantanaFluminenseArgument

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Fluminense and Palmeiras
#TeamPWDLGPTS
2.Fluminense62227:78
2.Palmeiras632110:511

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Venue
Estádio do Maracanã
Status
Match Finished
Score
1–2
90-minute score
1–2
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Fluminense

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Palmeiras

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Fluminense vs Palmeiras: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Fluminense recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Palmeiras recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses, with 14 scored and 5 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticFluminensePalmeiras
Games1010
Wins55
Draws24
Losses31
Goals scored1814
Goals conceded125
Over 1.5 games85

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Fluminense: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 0.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Palmeiras: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Fluminense 1.27
Palmeiras 1.17

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Fluminense recent form

5Wins
2Draws
3Losses
18Goals scored
12Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Fluminense goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
FlamengoSerie AAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

CoritibaSerie AHome4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

CorinthiansSerie AAway3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PlatenseCONMEBOL LibertadoresAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Atletico-MGSerie AAway1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PlatenseCONMEBOL LibertadoresHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Vasco DA GamaSerie AHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Atletico ParanaenseSerie AAway3–3Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

RemoSerie AHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Independ. RivadaviaCONMEBOL LibertadoresAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Fluminense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Palmeiras recent form

5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
14Goals scored
5Goals conceded
7Clean sheets

1.40 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Palmeiras goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
CorinthiansSerie AHome4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

BahiaSerie AHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

GremioSerie AAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LDU de QuitoCONMEBOL LibertadoresAway2–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Sao PauloSerie AHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LDU de QuitoCONMEBOL LibertadoresHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BotafogoSerie AAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SantosCopa Do BrasilAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MirassolSerie AAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SantosCopa Do BrasilHome3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Palmeiras’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.