UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1
FULL-TIME
FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda in UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result · 15 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
- 25′
- 32′
- 33′Card · Yellow CardVasilije KostovFK Crvena ZvezdaArgument
- 53′Card · Yellow CardRenato SteffenFC LuganoFoul
- 55′Card · Yellow CardLars Lukas MaiFC LuganoFoul
- 63′
- 63′
- 64′
- 67′
- 73′
- 75′
- 75′
- 79′
- 79′
- 81′
- 81′
- 82′Card · Yellow CardStefan GudeljFK Crvena ZvezdaFoul
- 84′
- 88′Card · Yellow CardMahmudu BajoFK Crvena ZvezdaFoul
- 89′Goal · PenaltyA. GrgicFC Lugano
- 90+4′Card · Yellow CardMatej GaštarovFK Crvena ZvezdaFoul
Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.
Game statistics
FC LuganoFK Crvena Zvezda
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| 2 | Yellow Card | 4 |
| 0 | Yellow/Red Card | 0 |
| 0 | Red Card | 0 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 18 | Goal attempts | 20 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 6 | Shots blocked | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Penalties | 0 |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| 5 | Substitutions | 5 |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| 5 | On Target | 5 |
| 7 | Off Target | 11 |
| 41% | Possession % | 59% |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
| 8 | Shots insidebox | 7 |
| 10 | Shots outsidebox | 13 |
| 384 | Total passes | 545 |
| 329 | Passes accurate | 491 |
| 86% | Passes % | 90% |
| 2.29 | expected_goals | 1.23 |
| -0.12 | goals_prevented | -0.12 |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Updated
Lineups
FC Lugano
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
Starting XI
- 16D. von BallmoosG
- 6A. PapadopoulosD
- 17L. MaiD
- 3H. DelcroixD
- 2B. KarimovM
- 25U. BislimiM
- 8A. GrgicM
- 21Y. CimignaniM
- 11R. SteffenF
- 27D. Dos SantosF
- 9A. AjetiF
Substitutes
- 28F. GebhardtG
- 99D. MinaG
- 7E. AlioskiD
- 4D. KelvinD
- 26M. MarquesD
- 14A. KendouciM
- 91K. BehrensF
- 22B. D. Castro EspinosaF
- 24E. PihlstromF
- 30D. MoncadaF
FK Crvena Zvezda
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Albert Riera
Starting XI
- 1MatheusG
- 37V. LucicD
- 60M. GashtarovD
- 45S. GudeljD
- 3Y. NakayamaD
- 23M. RisticD
- 21T. ElsnikM
- 33R. KrunicM
- 20T. HandelM
- 22V. KostovM
- 9B. DiengF
Substitutes
- 50S. RadanovicG
- 77I. GutesaG
- 27M. StrikaD
- 13M. VeljkovicD
- 30F. Tebo UchennaD
- 19Kim Ye-geonM
- 70M. ChamM
- 6M. BajoM
- 7M. ArnautovicF
- 8K. BalovF
- 55D. SaricM
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2. | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3. | Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 4. | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5. | Mjallby AIF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6. | St. Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 7. | SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 8. | FC Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9. | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10. | HNK Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11. | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12. | Brann | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13. | Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 14. | Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15. | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 16. | FC Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17. | FC Nordsjaelland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18. | Kairat Almaty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19. | Heart Of Midlothian | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20. | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21. | Universitatea Craiova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 22. | Riga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 23. | FK Jablonec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24. | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25. | Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26. | Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27. | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 28. | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 29. | Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 30. | FC Thun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 31. | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 32. | Pafos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 33. | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 34. | FC Iberia 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 35. | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 36. | Kauno Žalgiris | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8. | FC Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 24. | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Europa Conference League
- Venue
- AIL Arena
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
FC Lugano
FK Crvena Zvezda
Clevertips match analysis
FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
FC Lugano recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 10. FK Crvena Zvezda recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 21 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | FC Lugano | FK Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
FC Lugano: (2.56 weighted goals scored + 0.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FK Crvena Zvezda: (1.98 weighted goals scored + 1.07 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Lugano recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC LuzernSuper League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| Hellas VeronaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| LausanneSuper League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| FC ST. GallenSuper League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| BSC Young BoysSuper League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| FC Basel 1893Super League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Servette FCSuper League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| FC SionSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from FC Lugano’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FK Crvena Zvezda recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki 1923Super Liga | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| Radnicki NISSuper Liga | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Železničar PančevoSuper Liga | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| FK PartizanSuper Liga | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| ZemunSuper Liga | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| PlzenUEFA Europa League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| CukarickiSuper Liga | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| PlzenUEFA Europa League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from FK Crvena Zvezda’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.