Iraqi League · Regular Season - 10
Erbil vs Mosul in Iraqi League on 18 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview · 18 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
Match events are not yet available.
Game statistics
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Al-Karma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17:7 | 24 |
| 2. | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:4 | 21 |
| 3. | Naft | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 4. | Al Zawra'a | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 5. | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 6. | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 7. | Al-Jolan SC | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:9 | 14 |
| 8. | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 9. | Duhok | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10. | Diyala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 11. | Al Minaa Basra | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12. | Al Talaba | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 13. | Zakho | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | 9 |
| 14. | Gharraf | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | 9 |
| 15. | Ghaz Al Shamal | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 16. | Al Kahrabaa | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 17. | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 18. | Naft Maysan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 19. | Al Karkh | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20. | Karbala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Erbil vs Mosul
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 2–2 | Mosul | Iraqi League |
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
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Match information
- Competition
- Iraqi League
- Venue
- Franso Hariri Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Clevertips match analysis
Erbil vs Mosul: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Erbil recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Mosul recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Erbil | Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Erbil: (1.81 weighted goals scored + 1.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mosul: (0.79 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
Erbil recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AjmanAGCFF Gulf Champions League | Away | 4–5 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| Naft MaysanIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| KarbalaIraqi League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Al-KarmaIraqi League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| DiyalaIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Al ShortaIraqi League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Al Minaa BasraIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Al KarkhIraqi League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaIraqi League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Al KahrabaaIraqi League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Erbil’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mosul recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Quwa Al JawiyaIraqi League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsGame statisticsStatistics are not saved for this match yet. Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||
| NaftIraqi League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| ZakhoIraqi League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| NewrozIraqi League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Al Zawra'aIraqi League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Al ShortaIraqi League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| KarbalaIraqi League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| DiyalaIraqi League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Al-KarmaIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| NewrozIraqi League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Mosul’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.