Kirin Cup · 3rd place

FULL-TIME

Ecuador1–1Panama

Ecuador vs Panama in Kirin Cup on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 5 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

  1. 38′
    Goal · Normal GoalJosue VergaraPanama
  2. 44′
    Card · Yellow CardAdalberto CarrasquillaPanamaFoul
  3. 45′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Alan MindaEcuadorAssist: Juan Riquelme Angulo
  4. 45′
    Substitution · Substitution 2John MercadoEcuadorAssist: Nilson Angulo
  5. 45′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Jordy CaicedoEcuadorAssist: John Yeboah
  6. 45′
    Substitution · Substitution 4Jordy AlcivarEcuadorAssist: Pedro Vite
  7. 45′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Josue VergaraPanamaAssist: Tomás Rodríguez
  8. 55′
    Card · Yellow CardFricio CaicedoEcuadorFoul
  9. 58′
    Goal · Normal GoalJuan Riquelme AnguloEcuadorAssist: Anthony Valencia
  10. 64′
    Substitution · Substitution 5Leonardo RealpeEcuadorAssist: Willian Pacho
  11. 65′
    Substitution · Substitution 6Angelo PreciadoEcuadorAssist: José Andrés Hurtado
  12. 70′
    Card · Yellow CardMartín Wilhelm KrugPanamaFoul
  13. 70′
    Substitution · Substitution 7Jeremy SarmientoEcuadorAssist: Keny arroyo
  14. 76′
    Substitution · Substitution 2Cristian MartínezPanamaAssist: Dilan Herbert
  15. 76′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Jorge GutiérrezPanamaAssist: Omar Valencia
  16. 81′
    Card · Yellow CardCarlos HarveyPanamaFoul
  17. 86′
    Substitution · Substitution 4José Luis RodríguezPanamaAssist: Rafael Mosquera
  18. 87′
    Substitution · Substitution 5Adalberto CarrasquillaPanamaAssist: Deivis Murillo
  19. 89′
    Card · Yellow CardCésar BlackmanPanamaFoul
  20. 90+5′
    Card · Yellow CardVíctor GriffithPanamaFoul
  21. 92′
    Goal · PenaltyAmir MurilloPanamaPenalty Shootout
  22. 93′
    Goal · PenaltyPedro ViteEcuadorPenalty Shootout
  23. 93′
    Goal · PenaltyCarlos HarveyPanamaPenalty Shootout
  24. 94′
    Goal · Missed PenaltyAnthony ValenciaEcuadorPenalty Shootout
  25. 95′
    Goal · Missed PenaltyVíctor GriffithPanamaPenalty Shootout
  26. 96′
    Goal · PenaltyJohn YeboahEcuadorPenalty Shootout
  27. 97′
    Goal · PenaltyTomás RodríguezPanamaPenalty Shootout
  28. 97′
    Goal · PenaltyNilson AnguloEcuadorPenalty Shootout
  29. 98′
    Goal · PenaltyRafael MosqueraPanamaPenalty Shootout
  30. 99′
    Goal · PenaltyKeny arroyoEcuadorPenalty Shootout
  31. 100′
    Goal · PenaltyCésar BlackmanPanamaPenalty Shootout
  32. 100′
    Goal · PenaltyWillian PachoEcuadorPenalty Shootout
  33. 101′
    Goal · PenaltyDilan HerbertPanamaPenalty Shootout
  34. 102′
    Goal · PenaltyFricio CaicedoEcuadorPenalty Shootout
  35. 102′
    Goal · PenaltyDeivis MurilloPanamaPenalty Shootout
  36. 103′
    Goal · Missed PenaltyJuan Riquelme AnguloEcuadorPenalty Shootout

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Kirin Cup
Venue
To be confirmed
Status
Match Finished
Score
1–1
90-minute score
1–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Ecuador

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Panama

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Ecuador vs Panama: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Ecuador recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Panama recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticEcuadorPanama
Games1010
Wins32
Draws44
Losses34
Goals scored912
Goals conceded1017
Over 1.5 games78

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Ecuador: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Panama: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Ecuador 1.25
Panama 1.02

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Ecuador recent form

3Wins
4Draws
3Losses
9Goals scored
10Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Ecuador goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
JapanKirin CupAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

South KoreaFriendliesAway0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MexicoWorld CupAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

GermanyWorld CupHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CuraçaoWorld CupHome0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Ivory CoastWorld CupAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

GuatemalaFriendliesHome3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Saudi ArabiaFriendliesHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

NetherlandsFriendliesAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MoroccoFriendliesAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Ecuador’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Panama recent form

2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
12Goals scored
17Goals conceded
0Clean sheets

1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Panama goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 60OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
New ZealandKirin CupHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

IndiaFriendliesAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EnglandWorld CupHome0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CroatiaWorld CupHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

GhanaWorld CupAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Bosnia & HerzegovinaFriendliesHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Dominican RepublicFriendliesHome4–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BrazilFriendliesAway2–6Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

South AfricaFriendliesAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

South AfricaFriendliesAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Panama’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.