Kirin Cup · 3rd place
FULL-TIME
Ecuador vs Panama in Kirin Cup on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result · 5 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
- 38′Goal · Normal GoalJosue VergaraPanama
- 44′Card · Yellow CardAdalberto CarrasquillaPanamaFoul
- 45′
- 45′
- 45′
- 45′
- 45′
- 55′Card · Yellow CardFricio CaicedoEcuadorFoul
- 58′
- 64′
- 65′
- 70′Card · Yellow CardMartín Wilhelm KrugPanamaFoul
- 70′
- 76′
- 76′
- 81′Card · Yellow CardCarlos HarveyPanamaFoul
- 86′
- 87′
- 89′Card · Yellow CardCésar BlackmanPanamaFoul
- 90+5′Card · Yellow CardVíctor GriffithPanamaFoul
- 92′Goal · PenaltyAmir MurilloPanamaPenalty Shootout
- 93′Goal · PenaltyPedro ViteEcuadorPenalty Shootout
- 93′Goal · PenaltyCarlos HarveyPanamaPenalty Shootout
- 94′Goal · Missed PenaltyAnthony ValenciaEcuadorPenalty Shootout
- 95′Goal · Missed PenaltyVíctor GriffithPanamaPenalty Shootout
- 96′Goal · PenaltyJohn YeboahEcuadorPenalty Shootout
- 97′Goal · PenaltyTomás RodríguezPanamaPenalty Shootout
- 97′Goal · PenaltyNilson AnguloEcuadorPenalty Shootout
- 98′Goal · PenaltyRafael MosqueraPanamaPenalty Shootout
- 99′Goal · PenaltyKeny arroyoEcuadorPenalty Shootout
- 100′Goal · PenaltyCésar BlackmanPanamaPenalty Shootout
- 100′Goal · PenaltyWillian PachoEcuadorPenalty Shootout
- 101′Goal · PenaltyDilan HerbertPanamaPenalty Shootout
- 102′Goal · PenaltyFricio CaicedoEcuadorPenalty Shootout
- 102′Goal · PenaltyDeivis MurilloPanamaPenalty Shootout
- 103′Goal · Missed PenaltyJuan Riquelme AnguloEcuadorPenalty Shootout
Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.
Game statistics
EcuadorPanama
Statistics are updating; values will appear when available.
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 1 |
| — | Corners | — |
| — | Corners (Half) | — |
| 1 | Yellow Card | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow/Red Card | 0 |
| 0 | Red Card | 0 |
| — | Offsides | — |
| — | Goal attempts | — |
| — | Saves | — |
| — | Shots blocked | — |
| — | Fouls | — |
| 8 | Penalties | 8 |
| — | Ball Safe | — |
| — | Injuries | — |
| 7 | Substitutions | 5 |
| — | Attacks | — |
| — | Dangerous Attacks | — |
| — | On Target | — |
| — | Off Target | — |
| — | Possession % | — |
| — | Total market value | — |
| — | Avg. market value | — |
| — | Avg. Age | — |
| — | National team players | — |
| — | Youth national team players | — |
| — | Foreigners | — |
An em dash means this statistic has not been supplied for the match.
Lineups
Ecuador
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: M. Gallardo
Starting XI
- 22G. ValleG
- 17A. PreciadoD
- 24L. RealpeD
- 2F. TorresD
- 3F. CaicedoD
- 8A. ValenciaF
- 5J. AlcívarM
- 23J. MercadoF
- 16J. SarmientoM
- 14A. MindaF
- 9J. CaicedoF
Substitutes
- 19J. HurtadoD
- 13J. AnguloF
- 6W. PachoD
- 1H. GalíndezG
- 21A. FrancoM
- 25J. PorozoD
- 12M. RamírezG
- 15P. ViteM
- 10J. YeboahF
- 16D. CastilloM
- 11K. ArroyoM
- 20N. AnguloM
Panama
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Thomas Christiansen
Starting XI
- 12E. RobertsG
- 4M. KrugD
- 2C. BlackmanD
- 14C. HarveyM
- 23A. MurilloD
- 6Cristian Jesús MartínezM
- 5V. GriffithM
- 15J. GutiérrezD
- 8A. CarrasquillaM
- 7J. RodríguezM
- 18J. Y. Vergara OrtegaF
Substitutes
- 22O. MosqueraG
- 19O. ValenciaD
- 9T. RodríguezF
- 13J. RamosD
- 26D. MurilloM
- 10R. MosqueraF
- 24E. AndersonD
- 12M. De LeonG
- 17J. FajardoF
- 26A. HerbertM
- 21M. JimenezF
- 11A. LondoñoM
- 25J. JonesD
- 27J. ModeloD
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Ecuador vs Panama
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
A saved league table is not available for this competition yet.
Prediction saved
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Kirin Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Clevertips match analysis
Ecuador vs Panama: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Ecuador recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Panama recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ecuador | Panama |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ecuador: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Panama: (1.05 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ecuador recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JapanKirin Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| South KoreaFriendlies | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| MexicoWorld Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| GermanyWorld Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| CuraçaoWorld Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Ivory CoastWorld Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| GuatemalaFriendlies | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Saudi ArabiaFriendlies | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| NetherlandsFriendlies | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| MoroccoFriendlies | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Ecuador’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Panama recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New ZealandKirin Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| IndiaFriendlies | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| EnglandWorld Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| CroatiaWorld Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| GhanaWorld Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Bosnia & HerzegovinaFriendlies | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| Dominican RepublicFriendlies | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| BrazilFriendlies | Away | 2–6 | Lost | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| South AfricaFriendlies | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
| South AfricaFriendlies | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||
Scores shown from Panama’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.
