National League - South · National League South - 12
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Ebbsfleet UnitedvsWeston-super-Mare
Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare in National League - South on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League - South — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ebbsfleet United are ranked 6 in National League N/S: South, with 18 points from 8 games.
Weston-super-Mare are ranked 7 in National League N/S: South, with 18 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone Utd | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Salisbury | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Billericay Town | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Truro City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | Weston-super-Mare | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 10 | Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 11 | Farnham Town | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 12 | Torquay | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 | Chelmsford City | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 16 | Maidenhead | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 | Horsham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 | Braintree | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | AFC Totton | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- National League - South
- Venue
- Stonebridge Road Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Ebbsfleet United
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Weston-super-Mare
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Ebbsfleet United vs Weston-super-Mare: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Ebbsfleet United recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Weston-super-Mare recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ebbsfleet United | Weston-super-Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ebbsfleet United: (2.01 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.61 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Weston-super-Mare: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 0.57 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ebbsfleet United recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC TottonNational League - South | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Hampton & RichmondNational League - South | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Folkestone InvictaNational League - South | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SholingFA Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Slough TownNational League - South | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MaidenheadFA Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| SalisburyNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Walton & HershamNational League - South | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ebbsfleet United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Weston-super-Mare recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folkestone InvictaNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Farnham TownNational League - South | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Wimborne TownFA Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Wimborne TownFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dagenham & RedbridgeNational League - South | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AFC TottonNational League - South | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Maidstone UtdNational League - South | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chelmsford CityNational League - South | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| DoverNational League - South | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Weston-super-Mare’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.