Premier Division · Regular Season - 34
Results Only
Drogheda UnitedvsDerry City
Drogheda United vs Derry City in Premier Division on 16 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
16 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Derry City are ranked 5 in Premier Division, with 41 points from 32 games.
Drogheda United are ranked 9 in Premier Division, with 34 points from 33 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 65 |
| 2 | St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 59 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 43 |
| 5 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 41 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Drogheda United vs Derry City
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derry City | 2–0 | Drogheda United | Premier Division |
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Match information
- Competition
- Premier Division
- Venue
- United Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Drogheda United
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Derry City
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Clevertips match analysis
Drogheda United vs Derry City: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Drogheda United recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Derry City recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 21 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Drogheda United | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Drogheda United: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Derry City: (2.01 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Drogheda United recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock RoversPremier Division | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| TrabzonsporFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BohemiansPremier Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ShelbournePremier Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sligo RoversPremier Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Galway UnitedFAI Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| DundalkPremier Division | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| St Patrick's Athl.Premier Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| College CorinthiansFAI Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Galway UnitedPremier Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Drogheda United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Derry City recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galway UnitedFAI Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Galway UnitedPremier Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WaterfordPremier Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ShelbournePremier Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| DundalkFAI Cup | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Shamrock RoversPremier Division | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| BohemiansPremier Division | Away | 3–5 | Lost | |
| UCDFAI Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sligo RoversPremier Division | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| St Patrick's Athl.Premier Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Derry City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.