Championship · Regular Season - 9

FULL-TIME

Derby1–1Wrexham

Derby vs Wrexham in Championship on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 10 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Derby and Wrexham
#TeamPWDLGPTS
23.Derby101369:196
17.Wrexham1025311:1511

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Championship
Venue
Pride Park Stadium
Status
Match Finished
Score
1–1
90-minute score
1–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Derby

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Wrexham

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Derby vs Wrexham: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Derby recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 17. Wrexham recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 9 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticDerbyWrexham
Games1010
Wins12
Draws34
Losses64
Goals scored99
Goals conceded1714
Over 1.5 games97

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Derby: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Wrexham: (0.94 weighted goals scored + 1.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Derby 1.24
Wrexham 1.33

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Derby recent form

1Wins
3Draws
6Losses
9Goals scored
17Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Derby goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
BurnleyChampionshipAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BirminghamChampionshipHome1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

West BromChampionshipHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

West HamChampionshipAway0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PortsmouthChampionshipAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SwanseaChampionshipHome0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CardiffChampionshipHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CharltonChampionshipAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LincolnLeague CupHome1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

RotherhamFriendlies ClubsAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Derby’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Wrexham recent form

2Wins
4Draws
4Losses
9Goals scored
14Goals conceded
2Clean sheets

0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Wrexham goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 60OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
SouthamptonChampionshipHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

West HamChampionshipAway0–6Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BurnleyChampionshipHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SwanseaChampionshipAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MillwallChampionshipAway3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BirminghamChampionshipHome1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

WatfordChampionshipHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CardiffChampionshipAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MiddlesbroughLeague CupAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SunderlandPremier League - Summer SeriesHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Wrexham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.