Championship · Regular Season - 11
Results Only
DerbyvsStoke City
Derby vs Stoke City in Championship on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Stoke City are ranked 8 in Championship, with 16 points from 10 games.
Derby are ranked 23 in Championship, with 6 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 10 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Derby vs Stoke City
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 2–0 | Stoke City | Championship |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Championship
- Venue
- Pride Park Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Derby
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Stoke City
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Derby vs Stoke City: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Derby recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 19. Stoke City recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Derby | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Derby: (0.86 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Stoke City: (1.74 weighted goals scored + 1.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Derby recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPRChampionship | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| WrexhamChampionship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BurnleyChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BirminghamChampionship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| West BromChampionship | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| West HamChampionship | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| PortsmouthChampionship | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SwanseaChampionship | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CardiffChampionship | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CharltonChampionship | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Derby’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Stoke City recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MiddlesbroughChampionship | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| BoltonChampionship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sheffield UtdChampionship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| WatfordChampionship | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CardiffChampionship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CharltonChampionship | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| NorwichChampionship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WolvesChampionship | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Hull CityLeague Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SouthamptonChampionship | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Stoke City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.