Liga III - Serie 5 · Group 5 - 9
Results Only
CetateavsAlexandria
Cetatea vs Alexandria in Liga III - Serie 5 on 16 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
16 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
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Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga III - Serie 5 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Alexandria are ranked 2 in Group 5, with 17 points from 8 games.
Cetatea are ranked 8 in Group 5, with 9 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Alexandria | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | LPS HD Clinceni | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 6 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Cetatea | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Voluntari II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Progresul Spartac | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | FCSB II | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Cetatea vs Alexandria
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria | 1–1 | Cetatea | Liga III - Serie 5 |
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Match information
- Competition
- Liga III - Serie 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Cetatea
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Alexandria
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Cetatea vs Alexandria: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Cetatea recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 17. Alexandria recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cetatea | Alexandria |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cetatea: (2.48 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alexandria: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cetatea recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxigen BucurestiLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LPS HD ClinceniLiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Progresul MogosoaiaLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Dinamo Bucureşti IILiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Voluntari IILiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Axi Adunații-CopăceniLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FCSB IILiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 9–0 | Won | |
| Dunărea 2020 GiurgiuLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Dunărea 2020 GiurgiuCupa României | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vulturii FărcăşeştiLiga III - Play-offs | Home | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Cetatea’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Alexandria recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Bucureşti IILiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Voluntari IILiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Axi Adunații-CopăceniLiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FCSB IILiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dunărea 2020 GiurgiuLiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Omega SportLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Progresul SpartacLiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Progresul MogosoaiaLiga III - Serie 5 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Dunărea 2020 GiurgiuCupa României | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CSL NanovLiga III - Serie 5 | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Alexandria’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.