Primera División · Clausura - 11
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CerrovsCerro Largo
Cerro vs Cerro Largo in Primera División on 16 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
16 October 2026
Prediction
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cerro are ranked 11 in Primera: Tabla Anual, with 36 points from 32 games.
Cerro Largo are ranked 14 in Primera: Tabla Anual, with 33 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 59 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 55 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 53 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 50 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Juventud | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
| 11 | Cerro | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 35 |
| 13 | Boston River | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Danubio | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 16 | Progreso | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 29 |
Cerro Largo are ranked 11 in Primera: Promedios, with 82 points from 69 games.
Cerro are ranked 13 in Primera: Promedios, with 82 points from 69 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 69 | 43 | 13 | 13 | 117 | 60 | 57 | 142 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 69 | 41 | 14 | 14 | 124 | 71 | 53 | 134 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 59 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 69 | 31 | 22 | 16 | 94 | 68 | 26 | 115 |
| 5 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | 107 | 88 | 19 | 106 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 69 | 28 | 22 | 19 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 69 | 28 | 17 | 24 | 82 | 78 | 4 | 101 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 69 | 26 | 18 | 25 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 96 |
| 9 | Boston River | 69 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 82 | 82 | 0 | 89 |
| 10 | Albion FC | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 69 | 20 | 22 | 27 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 82 |
| 12 | Central Espanol | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Cerro | 69 | 22 | 17 | 30 | 59 | 89 | -30 | 82 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 69 | 20 | 21 | 28 | 66 | 86 | -20 | 81 |
| 15 | Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | 67 | 82 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 69 | 18 | 14 | 37 | 66 | 107 | -41 | 68 |
Cerro Largo are ranked 2 in Primera: Torneo Intermedio, with 11 points from 7 games.
Cerro are ranked 6 in Primera: Torneo Intermedio, with 9 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
Cerro Largo are ranked 12 in Primera: Apertura, with 17 points from 15 games.
Cerro are ranked 16 in Primera: Apertura, with 10 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
Cerro are ranked 7 in Primera: Clausura, with 17 points from 10 games.
Cerro Largo are ranked 15 in Primera: Clausura, with 5 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Penarol | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Juventud | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Cerro | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Wanderers | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Progreso | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Boston River | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Danubio | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Albion FC | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Cerro vs Cerro Largo
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 2–0 | Cerro | Primera División |
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Monumental Luis Tróccoli
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Cerro
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Cerro Largo
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Cerro vs Cerro Largo: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Cerro recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Cerro Largo recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 6 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cerro | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cerro: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 1.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.21 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Cerro Largo: (0.57 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cerro recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor SportingPrimera División | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| WanderersPrimera División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| JuventudPrimera División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo MaldonadoCopa Uruguay | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PenarolPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ProgresoPrimera División | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| CerritoCopa Uruguay | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Racing MontevideoPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WanderersCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Boston RiverPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Cerro’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Cerro Largo recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albion FCPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DanubioPrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RentistasCopa Uruguay | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Club NacionalPrimera División | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo MaldonadoPrimera División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Central EspanolPrimera División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Defensor SportingCopa Uruguay | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico TorquePrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Plaza ColoniaCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cerro Largo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.