Welsh Cup · Round of 64
Results Only
Caerphilly AthleticvsChepstow Town
Caerphilly Athletic vs Chepstow Town in Welsh Cup on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Welsh Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Caerphilly Athletic vs Chepstow Town
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Welsh Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Caerphilly Athletic
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Chepstow Town
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Caerphilly Athletic vs Chepstow Town: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Caerphilly Athletic recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Chepstow Town recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 18 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Caerphilly Athletic | Chepstow Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Caerphilly Athletic: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chepstow Town: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Caerphilly Athletic recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport CityFAW Championship | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Swansea UniversityFAW Championship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Pontypridd TownFAW Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Aberystwyth TownFAW Championship | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Trethomas BluebirdsFAW Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Baglan DragonsFAW Championship | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ynyshir AlbionsFAW Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Treowen StarsFAW Championship | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Cardiff DraconiansFAW Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Pontardawe TownFAW Championship | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Caerphilly Athletic’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chepstow Town recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pill AFCWelsh Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| South GowerWelsh Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Abercarn UnitedWelsh Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Pill AFCWelsh Cup | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Pontypridd TownWelsh Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RockspurWelsh Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Undy AthleticWelsh Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| STM SportsWelsh Cup | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Taffs WellWelsh Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Afan LidoWelsh Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chepstow Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.