FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying
Results Only
BuryvsHarrogate Town
Bury vs Harrogate Town in FA Cup on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Bury vs Harrogate Town
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
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Match information
- Competition
- FA Cup
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Bury
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Harrogate Town
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Clevertips match analysis
Bury vs Harrogate Town: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Bury recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 33 and conceding 11. Harrogate Town recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 19 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bury | Harrogate Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 33 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bury: (3.33 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Harrogate Town: (1.76 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bury recent form
3.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfreton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bromsgrove SportingFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Gainsborough TrinityFA Trophy | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| WorkingtonFA Cup | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| AFC EmleyNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Wythenshawe AmateursFA Cup | Home | 8–0 | Won | |
| Hyde UnitedNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ilkeston TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Lancaster CityNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bury’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Harrogate Town recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WokingNational League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AFC HornchurchNational League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| HartlepoolNational League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| EastleighNational League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Boreham WoodNational League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| AFC FyldeNational League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TamworthNational League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ScunthorpeNational League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| GatesheadNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Aldershot TownNational League | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Harrogate Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.