Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · Group 13 - 7
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Bala AzulvsSanta Cruz
Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Santa Cruz are ranked 4 in Tercera: Group 13, with 9 points from 6 games.
Bala Azul are ranked 9 in Tercera: Group 13, with 8 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | San Javier | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Alcantarilla | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Águilas II | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Atlético Pulpileño | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Bala Azul | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Olímpico Totana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Los Garres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Cartagena LU II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | SFC Minerva | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Cotillas CD | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Balsicas Atlético | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Bullas Deportivo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Algar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Mazarrón FC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz
| Date | Home team | Score | Away team | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Azul | 0–1 | Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
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Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Bala Azul
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Santa Cruz
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Bala Azul recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Santa Cruz recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bala Azul | Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bala Azul: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Santa Cruz: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 1.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bala Azul recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético PulpileñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Cotillas CDTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| UD CaravacaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| CiezaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MuleñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Bala Azul’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Santa Cruz recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cotillas CDTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| San JavierTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Cartagena LU IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Real Murcia IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Yeclano IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SFC MinervaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Santa Cruz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.