UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2

FULL-TIME

AS Roma3–4Real Madrid

AS Roma vs Real Madrid in UEFA Champions League on 14 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–4. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 14 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

  1. 17′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Manu KonéAS RomaAssist: Niccolò Pisilli
  2. 20′
    Goal · Normal GoalMarten de RoonAS RomaAssist: Matias Soule
  3. 25′
    Goal · Normal GoalKylian MbappéReal MadridAssist: Yan Diomande
  4. 45′
    Substitution · Substitution 2Paulo DybalaAS RomaAssist: Rodrigo Mora
  5. 51′
    Goal · Normal GoalDonyell MalenAS RomaAssist: Rodrigo Mora
  6. 57′
    Goal · Normal GoalDonyell MalenAS RomaAssist: Matias Soule
  7. 58′
    VAR · Goal confirmedDonyell MalenAS Roma
  8. 59′
    Substitution · Substitution 1Denzel DumfriesReal MadridAssist: Arda Güler
  9. 59′
    Substitution · Substitution 2ViníciusReal MadridAssist: Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
  10. 60′
    Card · Yellow CardGianluca ManciniAS RomaFoul
  11. 63′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Matias SouleAS RomaAssist: Lorenzo Pellegrini
  12. 63′
    Substitution · Substitution 4Gianluca ManciniAS RomaAssist: Leonardo Balerdi
  13. 69′
    Card · Yellow CardWesley Vinícius França LimaAS RomaFoul
  14. 70′
    Substitution · Substitution 3Aurelien TchouameniReal MadridAssist: Bernardo Silva
  15. 78′
    Substitution · Substitution 4Marc CucurellaReal MadridAssist: Álvaro Fernández Carreras
  16. 78′
    Substitution · Substitution 5Yan DiomandeReal MadridAssist: Carlos Espí
  17. 81′
    Substitution · Substitution 5Mario HermosoAS RomaAssist: Konstantinos Koulierakis
  18. 83′
    Goal · Normal GoalCarlos EspíReal Madrid
  19. 83′
    VAR · Goal confirmedCarlos EspíReal Madrid
  20. 85′
    Goal · Normal GoalEndrick Felipe Moreira de SousaReal MadridAssist: Arda Güler
  21. 89′
    Card · Yellow CardLorenzo PellegriniAS RomaFoul
  22. 90′
    Goal · Normal GoalAntonio RüdigerReal MadridAssist: Arda Güler
  23. 90+5′
    Card · Yellow CardÁlvaro Fernández CarrerasReal MadridFoul

Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for AS Roma and Real Madrid
#TeamPWDLGPTS
23.AS Roma10101:11
16.Real Madrid11002:13

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
UEFA Champions League
Venue
Stadio Olimpico
Status
Match Finished
Score
3–4
90-minute score
3–4
Last updated

Next five games for each club

AS Roma

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Real Madrid

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

AS Roma vs Real Madrid: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

AS Roma recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 10. Real Madrid recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 24 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticAS RomaReal Madrid
Games1010
Wins58
Draws40
Losses12
Goals scored2124
Goals conceded109
Over 1.5 games98

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

AS Roma: (1.99 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Real Madrid: (2.14 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.54 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
AS Roma 1.53
Real Madrid 1.54

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

AS Roma recent form

5Wins
4Draws
1Losses
21Goals scored
10Goals conceded
4Clean sheets

2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

AS Roma goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
ComoSerie AAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

InterSerie AHome2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TorinoSerie AAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

FenerbahçeUEFA Champions LeagueAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AtalantaSerie AHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

LecceSerie AAway4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

FiorentinaSerie AHome4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Borussia DortmundFriendlies ClubsAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BrightonFriendlies ClubsAway0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Newport CountyFriendlies ClubsAway4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from AS Roma’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Real Madrid recent form

8Wins
0Draws
2Losses
24Goals scored
9Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

2.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Real Madrid goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
VillarrealLa LigaHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Atletico MadridLa LigaAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ElcheLa LigaAway3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Rayo VallecanoLa LigaHome4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

InterUEFA Champions LeagueHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Real BetisLa LigaAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MalagaLa LigaHome4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Real SociedadLa LigaHome4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

EspanyolLa LigaAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

FC Schalke 04Friendlies ClubsAway3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Real Madrid’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.