League Two · Regular Season - 11
Results Only
Accrington STvsGillingham
Accrington ST vs Gillingham in League Two on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Clevertips · Match preview
17 October 2026
Prediction
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Game statistics
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League Two — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Gillingham are ranked 4 in League Two, with 16 points from 10 games.
Accrington ST are ranked 15 in League Two, with 11 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Accrington ST vs Gillingham
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- League Two
- Venue
- The Crown Ground
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Accrington ST
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Gillingham
No upcoming fixtures are available.
Clevertips match analysis
Accrington ST vs Gillingham: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Accrington ST recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Gillingham recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Accrington ST | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Accrington ST: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gillingham: (2.16 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Accrington ST recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OldhamLeague Two | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Salford CityEFL Trophy | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CheltenhamLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Swindon TownLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sunderland U21EFL Trophy | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Newport CountyLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Crawley TownLeague Two | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| GrimsbyLeague Two | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| WalsallLeague Two | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Accrington ST’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gillingham recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton U21EFL Trophy | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| RotherhamLeague Two | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Newport CountyLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| YorkLeague Two | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Cambridge UnitedEFL Trophy | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Bristol RoversLeague Two | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| TranmereLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| RochdaleLeague Two | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| ChesterfieldLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NorthamptonLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Gillingham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.