Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30

FULL-TIME

New York Red Bulls0–2Toronto FC

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC in Major League Soccer on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–2. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC
#TeamPWDLGPTS
8.New York Red Bulls291061339:5436
11.Toronto FC297121044:5533

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Major League Soccer
Venue
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Status
Match Finished
Score
0–2
90-minute score
0–2
Last updated

Next five games for each club

New York Red Bulls

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Toronto FC

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

New York Red Bulls recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Toronto FC recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 18 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticNew York Red BullsToronto FC
Games1010
Wins33
Draws24
Losses53
Goals scored918
Goals conceded1322
Over 1.5 games610

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

New York Red Bulls: (1.14 weighted goals scored + 2.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Toronto FC: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.44 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
New York Red Bulls 1.69
Toronto FC 1.50

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

New York Red Bulls recent form

3Wins
2Draws
5Losses
9Goals scored
13Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

New York Red Bulls goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
DC UnitedMajor League SoccerAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

DC UnitedStatisticNew York Red Bulls
116Passes accurate541
4Shots insidebox23
11Free Kicks8
3Shots on Goal6
5Goalkeeper Saves1
1Shots off Goal13
3Offsides0
199Total passes611
1Red Cards0
4Total Shots24
2Yellow Cards3
3Corner Kicks11
0Shots outsidebox1
0Blocked Shots5
9Fouls12
26%Ball Possession74%
1.26expected_goals3

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 5′Goal · Penalty · Tai Baribo DC United
  2. 19′Card · Yellow Card · Devin Padelford New York Red Bulls Foul
  3. 22′Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Bartlett DC United Foul
  4. 29′Card · Yellow Card · Jackson Hopkins DC United Foul
  5. 45+5′Goal · Normal Goal · Silvan Hefti · Assist: Tai Baribo DC United
  6. 56′subst · Substitution 1 · Jackson Hopkins · Assist: João Gabriel Martins Peglow DC United
  7. 56′subst · Substitution 2 · Oscar Avilez · Assist: Jared Stroud DC United
  8. 57′subst · Substitution 1 · Justin Che · Assist: Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty New York Red Bulls
  9. 57′subst · Substitution 2 · Cade Cowell · Assist: Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting New York Red Bulls
  10. 57′subst · Substitution 3 · Adri Mehmeti · Assist: Emil Forsberg New York Red Bulls
  11. 57′subst · Substitution 4 · Jorge Ruvalcaba · Assist: Cameron Harper New York Red Bulls
  12. 67′Card · Yellow Card · Dylan Nealis New York Red Bulls Foul
  13. 68′Card · Red Card · Lucas Bartlett DC United
  14. 70′subst · Substitution 3 · Brandon Servania · Assist: Sean Nealis DC United
  15. 71′Goal · Normal Goal · Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting · Assist: Emil Forsberg New York Red Bulls
  16. 73′Card · Yellow Card · Ronald Donkor New York Red Bulls Foul
  17. 78′subst · Substitution 5 · Ronald Donkor · Assist: Sekou Kone New York Red Bulls

Events updated

San DiegoMajor League SoccerHome4–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

St. Louis CityMajor League SoccerHome0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

New York City FCMajor League SoccerAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Columbus CrewMajor League SoccerAway1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Los Angeles FCMajor League SoccerAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Seattle SoundersMajor League SoccerAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Philadelphia UnionMajor League SoccerHome1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Chicago FireMajor League SoccerHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Nashville SCMajor League SoccerHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from New York Red Bulls’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Toronto FC recent form

3Wins
4Draws
3Losses
18Goals scored
22Goals conceded
0Clean sheets

1.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Toronto FC goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Orlando City SCMajor League SoccerHome3–3Draw
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Toronto FCStatisticOrlando City SC
2.84expected_goals2.3
216Passes accurate427
13Shots insidebox13
3Shots outsidebox1
1Blocked Shots4
11Free Kicks14
7Shots on Goal4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
8Shots off Goal6
3Offsides1
282Total passes490
16Total Shots14
3Yellow Cards1
5Corner Kicks5
17Fouls12
0Red Cards0
37%Ball Possession63%

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 26′Goal · Normal Goal · Lewis Morgan · Assist: Theo Corbeanu Toronto FC
  2. 45+1′Goal · Penalty · Martin Ojeda Orlando City SC
  3. 49′Goal · Normal Goal · Theo Corbeanu · Assist: Dániel Sallói Toronto FC
  4. 57′subst · Substitution 1 · Lewis Morgan · Assist: Djordje Mihailovic Toronto FC
  5. 66′Card · Yellow Card · Alonso Toronto FC Foul
  6. 67′subst · Substitution 1 · Harvey Graham Sarajian · Assist: Daryl Dike Orlando City SC
  7. 75′Card · Yellow Card · Benjamin Kuscevic Toronto FC Foul
  8. 76′Goal · Normal Goal · Antoine Griezmann · Assist: Iago Teodoro Orlando City SC
  9. 80′subst · Substitution 2 · Dániel Sallói · Assist: Derrick Etienne Jr. Toronto FC
  10. 82′Card · Yellow Card · Vinicius Nogueira Orlando City SC Foul
  11. 83′Goal · Normal Goal · Daryl Dike · Assist: Iván Angulo Orlando City SC
  12. 85′Card · Yellow Card · Robin Lucius Fraser Toronto FC Dissent
  13. 85′subst · Substitution 2 · Wilder Cartagena · Assist: Braian Ojeda Orlando City SC
  14. 88′subst · Substitution 3 · Alonso · Assist: Emilio Aristizábal Toronto FC
  15. 89′Goal · Normal Goal · Matheus Pereira de Souza Toronto FC
  16. 90+4′subst · Substitution 3 · Eduard Atuesta · Assist: Zakaria Taifi Orlando City SC
  17. 90+4′Card · Yellow Card · Richie Laryea Toronto FC Foul

Events updated

CF MontrealMajor League SoccerHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Nashville SCMajor League SoccerAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

St. Louis CityMajor League SoccerAway1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Orlando City SCMajor League SoccerAway0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Nashville SCMajor League SoccerHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Chicago FireMajor League SoccerHome4–4Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

New York City FCMajor League SoccerHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Inter MiamiMajor League SoccerAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CharlotteMajor League SoccerHome3–3Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Toronto FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.