League Two · Regular Season - 11

FULL-TIME

Accrington ST3–1Gillingham

Accrington ST vs Gillingham in League Two on 17 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 17 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Accrington ST and Gillingham
#TeamPWDLGPTS
15.Accrington ST1025313:1411
4.Gillingham1044215:1016

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
League Two
Venue
The Crown Ground
Status
Match Finished
Score
3–1
90-minute score
3–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Accrington ST

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Gillingham

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Accrington ST vs Gillingham: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Accrington ST recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Gillingham recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticAccrington STGillingham
Games1010
Wins25
Draws63
Losses22
Goals scored1520
Goals conceded1414
Over 1.5 games89

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Accrington ST: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Gillingham: (2.16 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Accrington ST 1.49
Gillingham 1.67

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Accrington ST recent form

2Wins
6Draws
2Losses
15Goals scored
14Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Accrington ST goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
OldhamLeague TwoAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Salford CityEFL TrophyHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

CheltenhamLeague TwoHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Swindon TownLeague TwoAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Sunderland U21EFL TrophyHome3–3Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Newport CountyLeague TwoHome0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BarnetLeague TwoAway1–2Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Crawley TownLeague TwoHome3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

GrimsbyLeague TwoHome2–2Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

WalsallLeague TwoAway2–3Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Accrington ST’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Gillingham recent form

5Wins
3Draws
2Losses
20Goals scored
14Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Gillingham goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Brighton U21EFL TrophyHome4–3Won
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

GillinghamStatisticBrighton U21
9Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal5
16Total Shots15
4Blocked Shots5
14Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox9
16Fouls8
7Corner Kicks1
1Offsides0
41%Ball Possession59%
2Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
376Total passes560
292Passes accurate473
78%Passes %84%

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 25′Card · Yellow Card · Nehemiah Oriola Brighton U21
  2. 30′Card · Yellow Card · Ethan Coleman Gillingham Foul
  3. 32′Goal · Penalty · T. Eaves Gillingham
  4. 39′Goal · Normal Goal · B. Dack · Assist: A. Smith Gillingham
  5. 45′Goal · Normal Goal · E. Coleman · Assist: J. Brophy Gillingham
  6. 46′subst · Substitution 1 · J. Brophy · Assist: C. McManus Gillingham
  7. 46′subst · Substitution 2 · A. Smith · Assist: L. Dobbs Gillingham
  8. 49′Goal · Normal Goal · L. Dayal · Assist: B. Dack Gillingham
  9. 51′Goal · Normal Goal · S. Nti · Assist: K. Shaw Brighton U21
  10. 63′subst · Substitution 1 · S. Keogh · Assist: A. West Brighton U21
  11. 63′subst · Substitution 2 · D. Lane · Assist: H. Kasvosve Brighton U21
  12. 64′subst · Substitution 3 · G. Munday · Assist: V. Joseph Brighton U21
  13. 67′subst · Substitution 3 · T. Eaves · Assist: R. Hale Gillingham
  14. 67′subst · Substitution 4 · L. Dayal · Assist: G. McCleary Gillingham
  15. 70′Goal · Normal Goal · S. Nti Brighton U21
  16. 77′subst · Substitution 5 · B. Dack · Assist: S. Booth Gillingham
  17. 79′Card · Yellow Card · Logan Dobbs Gillingham Foul
  18. 90′Goal · Normal Goal · T. Silsby Brighton U21

Events updated

RotherhamLeague TwoAway4–1Won
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Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

Newport CountyLeague TwoHome0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

Match events are not saved for this match yet.

YorkLeague TwoAway0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Cambridge UnitedEFL TrophyHome1–4Lost
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Bristol RoversLeague TwoHome3–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TranmereLeague TwoHome2–0Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

RochdaleLeague TwoAway4–1Won
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ChesterfieldLeague TwoAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

NorthamptonLeague TwoHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Gillingham’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.