Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 8
FULL-TIME
Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku in Premyer Liqa on 16 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Clevertips · Match result · 16 October 2026 · Times in UTC.
Match events
- 5′Goal · Normal GoalE. CafarovSafa Baku
- 27′Card · Yellow CardF. YusifliSafa Baku
- 50′Card · Yellow CardC. MamengiSafa Baku
- 52′Card · Yellow CardM. MusayevSafa Baku
- 56′Goal · PenaltyR. HuseynliSafa Baku
- 65′
- 65′
- 65′
- 65′Goal · Normal GoalJotaŞamaxı FK
- 66′
- 66′
- 77′
- 77′
- 81′Goal · Normal GoalH. IsmayilovŞamaxı FK
- 82′
- 90′Goal · PenaltyR. ApolinarioŞamaxı FK
- 90+8′Card · Yellow CardA. DraguSafa Baku
Events updated . Live event data refreshes about once a minute.
Game statistics
Şamaxı FKSafa Baku
Detailed statistics have not been returned for these teams yet; available scores or events are shown below.
| Home | Statistic | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 2 |
| 0% | Possession % | 0% |
| 0 | On Target | 0 |
| 0 | Off Target | 0 |
| 0 | Goal attempts | 0 |
| 0 | Shots blocked | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0 | Offsides | 0 |
| 0 | Fouls | 0 |
| 0 | Yellow Card | 4 |
| 0 | Red Card | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 0 |
| 4 | Substitutions | 4 |
| 0 | Attacks | 0 |
| 0 | Dangerous Attacks | 0 |
Zero means this statistic was not supplied for the match.
Updated
Lineups
Şamaxı FK
Coach: Aykhan Abbasov
Starting XI
- 1Ricardo FernandesPosition unavailable
- 10E. AdilkhanovPosition unavailable
- 97O. MammadovPosition unavailable
- 13R. ApolinarioPosition unavailable
- 19A. ShuaibuPosition unavailable
- 52A. MouminiPosition unavailable
- 3JotaPosition unavailable
- 5E. RustamovPosition unavailable
- 4R. F. Pereira PachecoPosition unavailable
- 25F. MarquesPosition unavailable
- 11A. BoualiPosition unavailable
Substitutes
- 62A. SeyiahmadovPosition unavailable
- 96N. QarazogluPosition unavailable
- 80H. IsmayilovPosition unavailable
- 7E. SuleymanovPosition unavailable
- 17S. MuradlyPosition unavailable
- 8D. DegoPosition unavailable
- 14U. CahangirovPosition unavailable
- 2F. XeyrullayevPosition unavailable
- 77O. TahmazliPosition unavailable
- 88H. ShiraliyevPosition unavailable
- 66C. BagyrzadaPosition unavailable
- 9T. AkhvledianiPosition unavailable
Safa Baku
Starting XI
- 12A. MustabazadaPosition unavailable
- 42E. CafarovPosition unavailable
- 5A. AgcabayovPosition unavailable
- 55R. HuseynliPosition unavailable
- 6F. YusifliPosition unavailable
- 28M. MusayevPosition unavailable
- 10D. MertensPosition unavailable
- 18B. DansokoPosition unavailable
- 17M. GuelPosition unavailable
- 11A. DraguPosition unavailable
- 34C. MamengiPosition unavailable
Substitutes
- 99M. HuseynovPosition unavailable
- 97Tiago SilvaPosition unavailable
- 3T. QuliyevPosition unavailable
- 23N. AliyevPosition unavailable
- 21I. ZulfugarliPosition unavailable
- 83N. QuliyevPosition unavailable
- 4M. JarjuePosition unavailable
- 8V. PopPosition unavailable
- 9Luis FelipePosition unavailable
- 22O. DiawPosition unavailable
- 77E. MammadovPosition unavailable
- 29V. QanbarovPosition unavailable
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Standings
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Sabah FA | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:1 | 19 |
| 2. | Neftchi Baku | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:8 | 17 |
| 3. | Qarabag | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 4. | Turan | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 14 |
| 5. | Şamaxı FK | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 6. | Zira | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 7. | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 8. | Sumqayıt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 9. | Imisli FK | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 10. | Qabala | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:15 | 4 |
| 11. | Safa Baku | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 12. | Araz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:17 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
PREVIOUS MEETINGS
Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku
Previous head-to-head results are not available yet.
Prediction details
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.
Current league table
Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | G | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5. | Şamaxı FK | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 11. | Safa Baku | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4:15 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.
Prediction saved
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
Match information
- Competition
- Premyer Liqa
- Venue
- Shamakhi City Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Next five games for each club
Clevertips match analysis
Şamaxı FK vs Safa Baku: match review and analysis
Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.
Şamaxı FK recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Safa Baku recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 4 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Şamaxı FK | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 4 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Şamaxı FK: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.54 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Safa Baku: (0.38 weighted goals scored + 1.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results, stats and events
Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.
LAST 10 GAMES
Şamaxı FK recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsGame statistics
Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Home | 2–1 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SumqayıtPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| KapazPremyer Liqa | Away | 4–1 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TuranPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| QarabagPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TuranPremyer Liqa | Home | 3–2 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Scores shown from Şamaxı FK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Safa Baku recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuranPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsGame statistics
Match eventsMatch events are not saved for this match yet. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| QarabagPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sabah FAPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Neftchi BakuPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Imisli FKPremyer Liqa | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–0 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ZaqatalaBirinci Dasta | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CəbrayılBirinci Dasta | Home | 1–0 | Won | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Difai AğsuBirinci Dasta | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
View saved statistics and eventsStatistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Scores shown from Safa Baku’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.
