Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 12

FULL-TIME

Tapatío2–4CA La Paz

Tapatío vs CA La Paz in Liga de Expansión MX on 9 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–4. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 9 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Tapatío and CA La Paz
#TeamPWDLGPTS
9.Tapatío1252523:2017
2.CA La Paz1272328:1523

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Liga de Expansión MX
Venue
Estadio Akron
Status
Match Finished
Score
2–4
90-minute score
2–4
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Tapatío

No upcoming fixtures are available.

CA La Paz

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Tapatío vs CA La Paz: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Tapatío recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 15. CA La Paz recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 22 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticTapatíoCA La Paz
Games1010
Wins46
Draws22
Losses42
Goals scored1722
Goals conceded159
Over 1.5 games79

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Tapatío: (1.83 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

CA La Paz: (2.31 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Tapatío 1.44
CA La Paz 1.88

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Tapatío recent form

4Wins
2Draws
4Losses
17Goals scored
15Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Tapatío goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 40OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
CancúnLiga de Expansión MXAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

No statistics were returned for this match.

Stats updated

Match events

  1. 3′Card · Yellow Card · L. Jimenez Tapatío
  2. 17′Card · Yellow Card · M. Cendejas Tapatío
  3. 25′Card · Yellow Card · R. Reyes Cancún
  4. 51′Card · Yellow Card · J. Hernandez Cancún
  5. 59′Card · Yellow Card · L. Ruiz Cancún
  6. 59′subst · Substitution 1 · F. Melendre · Assist: G. Preciado Cancún
  7. 65′subst · Substitution 1 · L. Jimenez · Assist: D. Delgadillo Tapatío
  8. 65′subst · Substitution 2 · S. Esparza · Assist: C. Corona Tapatío
  9. 65′subst · Substitution 3 · C. Medina · Assist: D. Latorre Tapatío
  10. 69′subst · Substitution 2 · R. Reyes · Assist: D. Guillen Cancún
  11. 69′subst · Substitution 3 · P. Uscanga · Assist: T. Gigena Cancún
  12. 75′Goal · Normal Goal · T. Gigena Cancún
  13. 76′Card · Yellow Card · T. Gigena Cancún
  14. 77′subst · Substitution 4 · K. Campos · Assist: L. Lopez Cancún
  15. 77′subst · Substitution 5 · A. Chavez · Assist: J. Cortes Cancún
  16. 80′subst · Substitution 4 · L. Ledesma · Assist: D. Ponce Tapatío
  17. 86′subst · Substitution 5 · R. Nuno · Assist: J. Lewis Tapatío

Events updated

TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MXHome4–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

DoradosLiga de Expansión MXAway1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MXHome1–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Alebrijes de OaxacaLiga de Expansión MXAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Mineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MXHome4–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MXAway3–2Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Venados FCLiga de Expansión MXAway2–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CDS Tampico MaderoLiga de Expansión MXHome1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Cruz Azul HidalgoLiga de Expansión MXHome0–0Draw
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Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Tapatío’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

CA La Paz recent form

6Wins
2Draws
2Losses
22Goals scored
9Goals conceded
3Clean sheets

2.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

CA La Paz goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 50OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Venados FCLiga de Expansión MXHome1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Game statistics

Statistics are not saved for this match yet.

Match events

  1. 17′Card · Yellow Card · S. Lora Venados FC
  2. 21′Goal · Normal Goal · S. Lora · Assist: P. Kilani Venados FC
  3. 29′Card · Yellow Card · D. Hernandez CA La Paz
  4. 34′Goal · Normal Goal · J. Reyes · Assist: S. Lora Venados FC
  5. 43′Goal · Penalty · M. Barragan CA La Paz
  6. 46′subst · Substitution 1 · D. Hernandez · Assist: O. Millan CA La Paz
  7. 50′Card · Yellow Card · C. Robles CA La Paz
  8. 62′subst · Substitution 1 · K. Amador · Assist: A. Dominguez Venados FC
  9. 62′subst · Substitution 2 · P. Kilani · Assist: L. Macias Venados FC
  10. 70′subst · Substitution 2 · J. Ferrer · Assist: U. Jaimes CA La Paz
  11. 72′subst · Substitution 3 · M. Aguilar · Assist: S. Saucedo Venados FC
  12. 72′subst · Substitution 4 · S. Lora · Assist: M. Torres Venados FC
  13. 72′subst · Substitution 5 · J. Reyes · Assist: E. Torres Venados FC
  14. 75′Card · Yellow Card · S. Saucedo Venados FC
  15. 77′subst · Substitution 3 · U. Zurita Jimenez · Assist: R. Renteria CA La Paz
  16. 90+4′Card · Yellow Card · R. Renteria CA La Paz

Events updated

Alebrijes de OaxacaLiga de Expansión MXAway3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Correcaminos UatLiga de Expansión MXHome3–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MXAway2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Mineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MXHome3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

CancúnLiga de Expansión MXAway2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Cruz Azul HidalgoLiga de Expansión MXHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

PiratasLiga de Expansión MXHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

TepatitlánLiga de Expansión MXAway5–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

DurangoLiga de Expansión MXHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from CA La Paz’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.