Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 7

FULL-TIME

Mbeya City1–3Kagera Sugar

Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara on 9 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–3. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 9 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Mbeya City and Kagera Sugar
#TeamPWDLGPTS
8.Mbeya City73137:710
14.Kagera Sugar81349:166

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Ligi kuu Bara
Venue
Sokoine Stadium
Status
Match Finished
Score
1–3
90-minute score
1–3
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Mbeya City

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Kagera Sugar

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Mbeya City vs Kagera Sugar: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Mbeya City recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Kagera Sugar recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, with 7 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticMbeya CityKagera Sugar
Games1010
Wins40
Draws43
Losses27
Goals scored97
Goals conceded520
Over 1.5 games67

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Mbeya City: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 2.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Kagera Sugar: (0.75 weighted goals scored + 0.55 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Mbeya City 1.53
Kagera Sugar 0.65

The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Mbeya City recent form

4Wins
4Draws
2Losses
9Goals scored
5Goals conceded
6Clean sheets

0.90 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Mbeya City goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 20OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Polisi TanzaniaLigi kuu BaraAway0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Tabora UnitedLigi kuu BaraAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Fountain GateLigi kuu BaraAway2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MashujaaLigi kuu BaraHome2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Dodoma JijiLigi kuu BaraHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Geita GoldLigi kuu BaraHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Tanzania PrisonsLigi kuu BaraAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Tanzania PrisonsLigi kuu BaraHome2–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Tabora UnitedLigi kuu BaraHome0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Dodoma JijiLigi kuu BaraAway1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Mbeya City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

Kagera Sugar recent form

0Wins
3Draws
7Losses
7Goals scored
20Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

0.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Kagera Sugar goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 60OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Fountain GateLigi kuu BaraHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AzamLigi kuu BaraHome0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MashujaaLigi kuu BaraAway1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Geita GoldLigi kuu BaraAway2–6Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Singida Black StarsLigi kuu BaraHome1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SimbaLigi kuu BaraHome0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SimbaLigi kuu BaraAway0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

NamungoLigi kuu BaraAway0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

MashujaaLigi kuu BaraHome0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

AzamLigi kuu BaraHome2–4Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Kagera Sugar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.

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