Mineiro - 3 · Regular Season - 3

FULL-TIME

Nacional AC MG2–1Nova Lavras

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras in Mineiro - 3 on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.

Clevertips · Match result · 5 October 2026 · Times in UTC.

Match events

Match events are not yet available.

Prediction details

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 2 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

The saved statistics and match events from each team’s previous ten games appear in the recent-results section below.

Current league table

Latest saved positions for the teams in this match.

Current standings for Nacional AC MG and Nova Lavras
#TeamPWDLGPTS
3.Nacional AC MG53117:310
4.Nova Lavras530221:49

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · G: goals for:against. Full standings remain in the Table tab.

Prediction saved

Match information

Competition
Mineiro - 3
Venue
To be confirmed
Status
Match Finished
Score
2–1
90-minute score
2–1
Last updated

Next five games for each club

Nacional AC MG

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Nova Lavras

No upcoming fixtures are available.

Clevertips match analysis

Nacional AC MG vs Nova Lavras: match review and analysis

Recent team results and head-to-head history provide background for this fixture.

Nacional AC MG recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Nova Lavras recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, with 4 scored and 2 conceded across 2 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
StatisticNacional AC MGNova Lavras
Games102
Wins41
Draws30
Losses31
Goals scored104
Goals conceded102
Over 1.5 games62

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Nacional AC MG: (1.20 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Nova Lavras: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 0.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6
Nacional AC MG 1.18
Nova Lavras 1.42

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results, stats and events

Expand any of the previous ten games to see its saved statistics and match events. Only data already stored for that fixture is shown.

LAST 10 GAMES

Nacional AC MG recent form

4Wins
3Draws
3Losses
10Goals scored
10Goals conceded
4Clean sheets

1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

Nacional AC MG goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Inter de MinasMineiro - 3Away1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

SantarritenseMineiro - 3Home3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

ValeriodoceMineiro - 2Away2–2Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

North EsporteMineiro - 2Home0–3Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BetimMineiro - 2Away0–0Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Guarani MGMineiro - 2Home2–1Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Democrata SLMineiro - 2Away0–1Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Guarani MGMineiro - 2Away0–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

BetimMineiro - 2Home1–1Draw
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Democrata SLMineiro - 2Home1–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Nacional AC MG’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 2 GAMES

Nova Lavras recent form

1Wins
0Draws
1Losses
4Goals scored
2Goals conceded
1Clean sheets

2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 2 of 2 games finished with at least two goals.

Nova Lavras goals trendGreen circles: goals scored. Orange squares: goals conceded. Oldest game on the left; latest on the right. Read the table below for each score. 30OldestLatest
● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals
Recent results before this match · newest first
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
Novo Esporte ClubeMineiro - 3Home3–0Won
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Venda NovaMineiro - 3Away1–2Lost
View saved statistics and events

Statistics and events are not saved locally for this previous fixture.

Scores shown from Nova Lavras’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 2 usable previous results were available.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 15 seconds.

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